Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under police investigation following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former role as UK trade envoy and Epstein-related document disclosures, but he was released the same day without charges. UK authorities, including Thames Valley Police and the Crown Prosecution Service, continue assessing evidence and additional allegations months later, with no trial date or formal proceedings confirmed as of mid-2026. The offense carries a potential life sentence if convicted, yet the high evidentiary threshold, lengthy review process, and historical rarity of such prosecutions against senior royals underpin trader consensus against prison time. Late-stage charging or unexpected new evidence from ongoing inquiries could theoretically shift outcomes, though structural and procedural barriers make that improbable in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
3% probabilidad
$221,001 Vol.
$221,001 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
3% probabilidad
$221,001 Vol.
$221,001 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under police investigation following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former role as UK trade envoy and Epstein-related document disclosures, but he was released the same day without charges. UK authorities, including Thames Valley Police and the Crown Prosecution Service, continue assessing evidence and additional allegations months later, with no trial date or formal proceedings confirmed as of mid-2026. The offense carries a potential life sentence if convicted, yet the high evidentiary threshold, lengthy review process, and historical rarity of such prosecutions against senior royals underpin trader consensus against prison time. Late-stage charging or unexpected new evidence from ongoing inquiries could theoretically shift outcomes, though structural and procedural barriers make that improbable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volumen
$221,001Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under police investigation following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former role as UK trade envoy and Epstein-related document disclosures, but he was released the same day without charges. UK authorities, including Thames Valley Police and the Crown Prosecution Service, continue assessing evidence and additional allegations months later, with no trial date or formal proceedings confirmed as of mid-2026. The offense carries a potential life sentence if convicted, yet the high evidentiary threshold, lengthy review process, and historical rarity of such prosecutions against senior royals underpin trader consensus against prison time. Late-stage charging or unexpected new evidence from ongoing inquiries could theoretically shift outcomes, though structural and procedural barriers make that improbable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$221,001Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under police investigation following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former role as UK trade envoy and Epstein-related document disclosures, but he was released the same day without charges. UK authorities, including Thames Valley Police and the Crown Prosecution Service, continue assessing evidence and additional allegations months later, with no trial date or formal proceedings confirmed as of mid-2026. The offense carries a potential life sentence if convicted, yet the high evidentiary threshold, lengthy review process, and historical rarity of such prosecutions against senior royals underpin trader consensus against prison time. Late-stage charging or unexpected new evidence from ongoing inquiries could theoretically shift outcomes, though structural and procedural barriers make that improbable in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes