Aaron Judge's combination of league-leading home run power, elite OPS near 1.040, and the Yankees' strong early record has solidified him as the clear AL MVP frontrunner in trader consensus at 49.5 percent implied probability. Through mid-May, his 16 homers and consistent run production have outpaced most peers, building on back-to-back strong seasons. Bobby Witt Jr. sits second at 19.5 percent on the strength of a .309 average and speed, though he trails in power categories. Yordan Alvarez follows at 12.2 percent after a high-xwOBA start for the Astros, while breakout performances from Ben Rice and Nick Kurtz add depth to the field. Recent injury resilience and schedule strength continue to shape these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAaron Judge 50%
Bobby Witt Jr. 20%
Nick Kurtz 13%
Yordan Alvarez 10.6%
$50,922 Vol.
$50,922 Vol.
Aaron Judge
50%
Bobby Witt Jr.
20%
Nick Kurtz
13%
Yordan Alvarez
11%
Ben Rice
4%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Julio Rodríguez
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Corey Seager
<1%
Aaron Judge 50%
Bobby Witt Jr. 20%
Nick Kurtz 13%
Yordan Alvarez 10.6%
$50,922 Vol.
$50,922 Vol.
Aaron Judge
50%
Bobby Witt Jr.
20%
Nick Kurtz
13%
Yordan Alvarez
11%
Ben Rice
4%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Julio Rodríguez
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Corey Seager
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's combination of league-leading home run power, elite OPS near 1.040, and the Yankees' strong early record has solidified him as the clear AL MVP frontrunner in trader consensus at 49.5 percent implied probability. Through mid-May, his 16 homers and consistent run production have outpaced most peers, building on back-to-back strong seasons. Bobby Witt Jr. sits second at 19.5 percent on the strength of a .309 average and speed, though he trails in power categories. Yordan Alvarez follows at 12.2 percent after a high-xwOBA start for the Astros, while breakout performances from Ben Rice and Nick Kurtz add depth to the field. Recent injury resilience and schedule strength continue to shape these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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