The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 25-50% for dozens of running backs reflects the extreme variance inherent in Week 1 rushing touchdown totals across the NFL slate. With training camp and preseason data providing only limited clarity on goal-line hierarchies, most teams enter the opener with uncertain backfield usage, shared touches, and schematic tweaks that can shift scoring chances dramatically based on game script. Factors such as favorable matchups, weather, and red-zone volume keep the field wide open, as no single back has established a clear edge in opportunity or efficiency entering the season. This setup produces a broad consensus among traders that multiple outcomes remain realistic rather than any dominant frontrunner emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTreVeyon Henderson 49%
Blake Corum 49%
Jadarian Price 49%
Christian McCaffrey 45%
TreVeyon Henderson
49%
Blake Corum
49%
Jadarian Price
49%
Christian McCaffrey
45%
Seth McGowan
37%
Tank Bigsby
27%
Rhamondre Stevenson
26%
RJ Harvey
26%
Rachaad White
26%
Chuba Hubbard
26%
Kenny Gainwell
26%
J.K. Dobbins
26%
Emmett Johnson
26%
Ashton Jeanty
26%
Javonte Williams
26%
Saquon Barkley
26%
Cam Skattebo
26%
Najee Harris
26%
James Cook III
25%
Jaylen Wright
25%
Breece Hall
25%
Braelon Allen
25%
Derrick Henry
25%
Samaje Perine
25%
Dylan Sampson
25%
Woody Marks
25%
Jonathan Taylor
25%
Bhayshul Tuten
25%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
25%
Jordan Mason
25%
Bijan Robinson
25%
Brian Robinson Jr.
25%
Jonathon Brooks
25%
Travis Etienne Jr.
25%
Alvin Kamara
25%
Bucky Irving
25%
Tyler Allgeier
25%
George Holani
25%
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
25%
Kyle Monangai
25%
Jahmyr Gibbs
25%
Ray Davis
24%
De'Von Achane
24%
Chase Brown
24%
Rico Dowdle
24%
Malik Davis
24%
Chris Brooks
24%
Jeremiyah Love
24%
Kyren Williams
24%
Kaelon Black
24%
Omarion Hampton
24%
Keaton Mitchell
24%
D'Andre Swift
24%
Jaylen Warren
23%
David Montgomery
23%
Tony Pollard
23%
Kenneth Walker III
23%
Sione Vaki
23%
Tyjae Spears
14%
MarShawn Lloyd
14%
Aaron Jones Sr.
14%
Justice Hill
14%
Mike Washington Jr.
14%
Quinshon Judkins
13%
TreVeyon Henderson 49%
Blake Corum 49%
Jadarian Price 49%
Christian McCaffrey 45%
TreVeyon Henderson
49%
Blake Corum
49%
Jadarian Price
49%
Christian McCaffrey
45%
Seth McGowan
37%
Tank Bigsby
27%
Rhamondre Stevenson
26%
RJ Harvey
26%
Rachaad White
26%
Chuba Hubbard
26%
Kenny Gainwell
26%
J.K. Dobbins
26%
Emmett Johnson
26%
Ashton Jeanty
26%
Javonte Williams
26%
Saquon Barkley
26%
Cam Skattebo
26%
Najee Harris
26%
James Cook III
25%
Jaylen Wright
25%
Breece Hall
25%
Braelon Allen
25%
Derrick Henry
25%
Samaje Perine
25%
Dylan Sampson
25%
Woody Marks
25%
Jonathan Taylor
25%
Bhayshul Tuten
25%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
25%
Jordan Mason
25%
Bijan Robinson
25%
Brian Robinson Jr.
25%
Jonathon Brooks
25%
Travis Etienne Jr.
25%
Alvin Kamara
25%
Bucky Irving
25%
Tyler Allgeier
25%
George Holani
25%
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
25%
Kyle Monangai
25%
Jahmyr Gibbs
25%
Ray Davis
24%
De'Von Achane
24%
Chase Brown
24%
Rico Dowdle
24%
Malik Davis
24%
Chris Brooks
24%
Jeremiyah Love
24%
Kyren Williams
24%
Kaelon Black
24%
Omarion Hampton
24%
Keaton Mitchell
24%
D'Andre Swift
24%
Jaylen Warren
23%
David Montgomery
23%
Tony Pollard
23%
Kenneth Walker III
23%
Sione Vaki
23%
Tyjae Spears
14%
MarShawn Lloyd
14%
Aaron Jones Sr.
14%
Justice Hill
14%
Mike Washington Jr.
14%
Quinshon Judkins
13%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 25-50% for dozens of running backs reflects the extreme variance inherent in Week 1 rushing touchdown totals across the NFL slate. With training camp and preseason data providing only limited clarity on goal-line hierarchies, most teams enter the opener with uncertain backfield usage, shared touches, and schematic tweaks that can shift scoring chances dramatically based on game script. Factors such as favorable matchups, weather, and red-zone volume keep the field wide open, as no single back has established a clear edge in opportunity or efficiency entering the season. This setup produces a broad consensus among traders that multiple outcomes remain realistic rather than any dominant frontrunner emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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