Trader consensus positions the Buffalo Bills as the clear frontrunners to reclaim the AFC East in 2026 after their five-year title streak ended in 2025. Josh Allen's continued elite play and roster stability give Buffalo the edge in a projected tight race with the New England Patriots, who captured the division last season behind Drake Maye and Mike Vrabel but now face a tougher early schedule that could create separation. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins remain longshots amid ongoing rebuilds, with limited projected contention based on recent roster moves and form. These implied probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds betting real capital on division standings, head-to-head history, and schedule strength.