Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan lean and unbroken Democratic hold on the office since 1991, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 23 shows primary challenger Helena Foulkes dominating incumbent Gov. Dan McKee 45%-11% among likely Democratic primary voters, with low approval (18% good/excellent) underscoring voter dissatisfaction but not threatening general election dominance given the weak Republican field of Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, and Robert Raimondo, plus independent Ken Block trailing in early matchups. Scenarios to upend this include a post-September 9 primary scandal on the Democratic nominee, unified GOP surge amid national midterm dynamics, or Block consolidating moderate support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDemócrata 94%
Republicano 4.1%
Independiente 1.4%
$50,984 Vol.
$50,984 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
94%
Republicano
4%
Independiente
1%
Demócrata 94%
Republicano 4.1%
Independiente 1.4%
$50,984 Vol.
$50,984 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$43,950 Vol.
94%
Republicano
$6,942 Vol.
4%
Independiente
$92 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan lean and unbroken Democratic hold on the office since 1991, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 23 shows primary challenger Helena Foulkes dominating incumbent Gov. Dan McKee 45%-11% among likely Democratic primary voters, with low approval (18% good/excellent) underscoring voter dissatisfaction but not threatening general election dominance given the weak Republican field of Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, and Robert Raimondo, plus independent Ken Block trailing in early matchups. Scenarios to upend this include a post-September 9 primary scandal on the Democratic nominee, unified GOP surge amid national midterm dynamics, or Block consolidating moderate support.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$50,984Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan lean and unbroken Democratic hold on the office since 1991, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 23 shows primary challenger Helena Foulkes dominating incumbent Gov. Dan McKee 45%-11% among likely Democratic primary voters, with low approval (18% good/excellent) underscoring voter dissatisfaction but not threatening general election dominance given the weak Republican field of Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, and Robert Raimondo, plus independent Ken Block trailing in early matchups. Scenarios to upend this include a post-September 9 primary scandal on the Democratic nominee, unified GOP surge amid national midterm dynamics, or Block consolidating moderate support.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$50,984Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's D+8 partisan lean and unbroken Democratic hold on the office since 1991, as affirmed by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 23 shows primary challenger Helena Foulkes dominating incumbent Gov. Dan McKee 45%-11% among likely Democratic primary voters, with low approval (18% good/excellent) underscoring voter dissatisfaction but not threatening general election dominance given the weak Republican field of Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, and Robert Raimondo, plus independent Ken Block trailing in early matchups. Scenarios to upend this include a post-September 9 primary scandal on the Democratic nominee, unified GOP surge amid national midterm dynamics, or Block consolidating moderate support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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