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icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte

Cadu de Lula 38%

Álvaro Dias 38%

Henrique Lyra 36%

Profesor Roberio Paulino 36%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Cadu de Lula 38%

Álvaro Dias 38%

Henrique Lyra 36%

Profesor Roberio Paulino 36%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$10 Vol.

38%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$10 Vol.

38%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$10 Vol.

36%

icon for Profesor Roberio Paulino

Profesor Roberio Paulino

$10 Vol.

36%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$10 Vol.

34%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$77 Vol.

33%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$10 Vol.

33%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$77 Vol.

32%

icon for Allyson

Allyson

$29 Vol.

35%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented heading into the October 4 first-round vote, with no candidate holding a commanding position in recent polling. Multiple contenders from PT, PL, and União Brasil, including Cadu Xavier, Álvaro Dias, and Allyson Bezerra, compete in a crowded field of nine registered candidates following the departure of the term-limited incumbent. July and August surveys show the top three clustered in the mid-20s to mid-30s, leaving substantial room for undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics on October 25. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through dispersed probabilities, with separation likely hinging on coalition alignments, campaign momentum, and any late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment in the Northeast state.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$243
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented heading into the October 4 first-round vote, with no candidate holding a commanding position in recent polling. Multiple contenders from PT, PL, and União Brasil, including Cadu Xavier, Álvaro Dias, and Allyson Bezerra, compete in a crowded field of nine registered candidates following the departure of the term-limited incumbent. July and August surveys show the top three clustered in the mid-20s to mid-30s, leaving substantial room for undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics on October 25. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through dispersed probabilities, with separation likely hinging on coalition alignments, campaign momentum, and any late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment in the Northeast state.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$243
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cadu de Lula" con 39%, seguido de "Álvaro Dias" con 38%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte" es "Cadu de Lula" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Álvaro Dias" con 38%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Rio Grande do Norte" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.