Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) secured a strong position as the likely second-place finisher in Rio Grande do Sul’s October 4 Senate election, where voters selected two senators. Pre-election surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data consistently placed him and coalition partner Sanderson (PL) at the top of consolidated first- and second-choice preferences, with Van Hattem often leading numerically amid a tight race involving Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL) and Paulo Pimenta (PT). The pair campaigned jointly under the “O Rio Grande Pode Mais” banner, emphasizing aligned priorities on economic issues and federal relations. Official results confirmed Sanderson first at 30.11% and Van Hattem second at 30.08%, well ahead of remaining contenders. Trader pricing reflects this outcome and the limited scope for late procedural changes to alter the ordering.