**Sorry Scusa Lo Siento by Pinguini Tattici Nucleari holds the edge at 54.5% implied probability** thanks to repeated weekly airplay leads on the RTL 102.5 Power Hits Estate chart and strong listener votes via the station’s Play app. The track’s consistent radio dominance since mid-summer, paired with the band’s established summer-hit pedigree, has anchored trader sentiment ahead of the sold-out September 1 finale at Verona’s Arena. Angelina Mango and Marco Mengoni’s Canto d’Amore sits second at 28.5% after topping recent weeks, while collaborative entries like PARTENOPE reflect fragmented support among other radio staples. With the winner determined by combined EarOne airplay data and app votes through late August, momentum shifts in the final days could still alter the outcome in this closely contested field.