Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented since March 2026, including expanded surveillance of aides and reduced public appearances by Vladimir Putin, reflect reported elite tensions and concerns over military influence, particularly around former defense minister Sergei Shoigu. European intelligence assessments have highlighted risks tied to insider plots or drone threats amid Ukraine war setbacks, economic strains, and slipping approval ratings. However, analysts emphasize Putin's retained control over security services, loyalty mechanisms within the military high command, and the absence of organized opposition capable of mounting a challenge. These factors underpin trader consensus that no coup attempt is likely through the remainder of 2026, consistent with the regime's demonstrated resilience after the 2023 Prigozhin episode.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$95,127 Vol.
$95,127 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$95,127 Vol.
$95,127 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented since March 2026, including expanded surveillance of aides and reduced public appearances by Vladimir Putin, reflect reported elite tensions and concerns over military influence, particularly around former defense minister Sergei Shoigu. European intelligence assessments have highlighted risks tied to insider plots or drone threats amid Ukraine war setbacks, economic strains, and slipping approval ratings. However, analysts emphasize Putin's retained control over security services, loyalty mechanisms within the military high command, and the absence of organized opposition capable of mounting a challenge. These factors underpin trader consensus that no coup attempt is likely through the remainder of 2026, consistent with the regime's demonstrated resilience after the 2023 Prigozhin episode.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$95,127Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented since March 2026, including expanded surveillance of aides and reduced public appearances by Vladimir Putin, reflect reported elite tensions and concerns over military influence, particularly around former defense minister Sergei Shoigu. European intelligence assessments have highlighted risks tied to insider plots or drone threats amid Ukraine war setbacks, economic strains, and slipping approval ratings. However, analysts emphasize Putin's retained control over security services, loyalty mechanisms within the military high command, and the absence of organized opposition capable of mounting a challenge. These factors underpin trader consensus that no coup attempt is likely through the remainder of 2026, consistent with the regime's demonstrated resilience after the 2023 Prigozhin episode.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$95,127Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented since March 2026, including expanded surveillance of aides and reduced public appearances by Vladimir Putin, reflect reported elite tensions and concerns over military influence, particularly around former defense minister Sergei Shoigu. European intelligence assessments have highlighted risks tied to insider plots or drone threats amid Ukraine war setbacks, economic strains, and slipping approval ratings. However, analysts emphasize Putin's retained control over security services, loyalty mechanisms within the military high command, and the absence of organized opposition capable of mounting a challenge. These factors underpin trader consensus that no coup attempt is likely through the remainder of 2026, consistent with the regime's demonstrated resilience after the 2023 Prigozhin episode.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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