Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin shows continued consolidation of power through loyal security services, the Federal Security Service, and military command structures, with no verified organized challenge emerging as of mid-August 2026. Isolated signs of discontent, including a June 2026 video by veteran and milblogger Aleksandr Lunin warning of potential military mutiny over battlefield conditions and later followed by his detention and apology, along with earlier European intelligence reports of tightened Kremlin security protocols since March, have fueled speculation but produced no concrete plots or actions. Putin's job approval ratings remain above 66 percent in state polling, while opposition voices stay marginalized. These factors underpin trader consensus that an attempt remains unlikely before year-end absent major new catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado7% probabilidad
$118,354 Vol.
$118,354 Vol.
31 dic 2026
7% probabilidad
$118,354 Vol.
$118,354 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin shows continued consolidation of power through loyal security services, the Federal Security Service, and military command structures, with no verified organized challenge emerging as of mid-August 2026. Isolated signs of discontent, including a June 2026 video by veteran and milblogger Aleksandr Lunin warning of potential military mutiny over battlefield conditions and later followed by his detention and apology, along with earlier European intelligence reports of tightened Kremlin security protocols since March, have fueled speculation but produced no concrete plots or actions. Putin's job approval ratings remain above 66 percent in state polling, while opposition voices stay marginalized. These factors underpin trader consensus that an attempt remains unlikely before year-end absent major new catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$118,354Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin shows continued consolidation of power through loyal security services, the Federal Security Service, and military command structures, with no verified organized challenge emerging as of mid-August 2026. Isolated signs of discontent, including a June 2026 video by veteran and milblogger Aleksandr Lunin warning of potential military mutiny over battlefield conditions and later followed by his detention and apology, along with earlier European intelligence reports of tightened Kremlin security protocols since March, have fueled speculation but produced no concrete plots or actions. Putin's job approval ratings remain above 66 percent in state polling, while opposition voices stay marginalized. These factors underpin trader consensus that an attempt remains unlikely before year-end absent major new catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$118,354Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin shows continued consolidation of power through loyal security services, the Federal Security Service, and military command structures, with no verified organized challenge emerging as of mid-August 2026. Isolated signs of discontent, including a June 2026 video by veteran and milblogger Aleksandr Lunin warning of potential military mutiny over battlefield conditions and later followed by his detention and apology, along with earlier European intelligence reports of tightened Kremlin security protocols since March, have fueled speculation but produced no concrete plots or actions. Putin's job approval ratings remain above 66 percent in state polling, while opposition voices stay marginalized. These factors underpin trader consensus that an attempt remains unlikely before year-end absent major new catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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