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icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

53-56% 37.9%

50-53% 33%

59-62% 29%

62%+ 29%

Polymarket
NUEVO

53-56% 37.9%

50-53% 33%

59-62% 29%

62%+ 29%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<47%

$175 Vol.

24%

47-50%

$67 Vol.

36%

50-53%

$67 Vol.

33%

53-56%

$73 Vol.

38%

56-59%

$59 Vol.

24%

59-62%

$60 Vol.

29%

62%+

$62 Vol.

35%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a mixed proportional and single-mandate system where administrative mobilization, expanded electronic voting, and three-day balloting have historically anchored turnout in the low-to-mid 50 percent range. With United Russia leveraging incumbency and regional structures to drive participation while opposition parties face organizational limits, trader odds cluster tightly across the 50-62 percent brackets as no decisive shift in mobilization capacity or public engagement has emerged in recent months. Factors such as ongoing economic pressures and procedural continuity sustain this equilibrium, with potential separation hinging on any late adjustments to voting access or regional campaign intensity before the September vote window.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volumen
$564
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections feature a mixed proportional and single-mandate system where administrative mobilization, expanded electronic voting, and three-day balloting have historically anchored turnout in the low-to-mid 50 percent range. With United Russia leveraging incumbency and regional structures to drive participation while opposition parties face organizational limits, trader odds cluster tightly across the 50-62 percent brackets as no decisive shift in mobilization capacity or public engagement has emerged in recent months. Factors such as ongoing economic pressures and procedural continuity sustain this equilibrium, with potential separation hinging on any late adjustments to voting access or regional campaign intensity before the September vote window.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volumen
$564
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "53-56%" con 38%, seguido de "47-50%" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" es "53-56%" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "47-50%" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.