United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections as the long-incumbent ruling party holding a constitutional majority of roughly 310 seats, backed by extensive state resources, favorable electoral rules combining party lists and single-member districts, and ongoing leadership restructuring that includes placing Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its candidate list. Recent Supreme Court actions have removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting registered opposition options, while Kremlin-aligned preparations emphasize continuity amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. These structural and procedural factors sustain trader consensus around United Russia's commanding position, though late shifts in mobilization policy, elite alignments, or turnout patterns could still alter seat outcomes before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRusia Unida (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
$3,167,802 Vol.
$3,167,802 Vol.

Rusia Unida (ER)
98%

Yabloko
1%

Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
<1%

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
<1%

Gente Nueva (NL)
<1%

Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%
$3,167,802 Vol.
$3,167,802 Vol.

Rusia Unida (ER)
98%

Yabloko
1%

Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
<1%

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
<1%

Gente Nueva (NL)
<1%

Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections as the long-incumbent ruling party holding a constitutional majority of roughly 310 seats, backed by extensive state resources, favorable electoral rules combining party lists and single-member districts, and ongoing leadership restructuring that includes placing Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its candidate list. Recent Supreme Court actions have removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting registered opposition options, while Kremlin-aligned preparations emphasize continuity amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. These structural and procedural factors sustain trader consensus around United Russia's commanding position, though late shifts in mobilization policy, elite alignments, or turnout patterns could still alter seat outcomes before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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