Somaliland's parliamentary elections, last held in 2021, faced repeated delays amid preparations for one-person-one-vote voting. In February 2026 the National Electoral Commission cited security risks, technical hurdles, and drought conditions when requesting a roughly ten-month postponement of the planned May 2026 vote; the House of Elders subsequently approved term extensions for the House of Representatives and local councils into 2027, with March 2027 now listed as the target date. These confirmed institutional steps have produced the overwhelming trader consensus that no election will occur before 2027. The three main parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—remain positioned for the rescheduled contest, yet their low market shares reflect the binding effect of the extension. A reversal before year-end would require an unexpected political or legal override of the extension, while any further slippage could reinforce the current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.6%
$94,568 Vol.
$94,568 Vol.
31 dic 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
2%
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.6%
$94,568 Vol.
$94,568 Vol.
31 dic 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
$84,754 Vol.
95%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
$4,279 Vol.
3%
Waddani
$2,522 Vol.
3%
Kulmiye
$3,013 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, last held in 2021, faced repeated delays amid preparations for one-person-one-vote voting. In February 2026 the National Electoral Commission cited security risks, technical hurdles, and drought conditions when requesting a roughly ten-month postponement of the planned May 2026 vote; the House of Elders subsequently approved term extensions for the House of Representatives and local councils into 2027, with March 2027 now listed as the target date. These confirmed institutional steps have produced the overwhelming trader consensus that no election will occur before 2027. The three main parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—remain positioned for the rescheduled contest, yet their low market shares reflect the binding effect of the extension. A reversal before year-end would require an unexpected political or legal override of the extension, while any further slippage could reinforce the current pricing.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volumen
$94,568Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, last held in 2021, faced repeated delays amid preparations for one-person-one-vote voting. In February 2026 the National Electoral Commission cited security risks, technical hurdles, and drought conditions when requesting a roughly ten-month postponement of the planned May 2026 vote; the House of Elders subsequently approved term extensions for the House of Representatives and local councils into 2027, with March 2027 now listed as the target date. These confirmed institutional steps have produced the overwhelming trader consensus that no election will occur before 2027. The three main parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—remain positioned for the rescheduled contest, yet their low market shares reflect the binding effect of the extension. A reversal before year-end would require an unexpected political or legal override of the extension, while any further slippage could reinforce the current pricing.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volumen
$94,568Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary elections, last held in 2021, faced repeated delays amid preparations for one-person-one-vote voting. In February 2026 the National Electoral Commission cited security risks, technical hurdles, and drought conditions when requesting a roughly ten-month postponement of the planned May 2026 vote; the House of Elders subsequently approved term extensions for the House of Representatives and local councils into 2027, with March 2027 now listed as the target date. These confirmed institutional steps have produced the overwhelming trader consensus that no election will occur before 2027. The three main parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—remain positioned for the rescheduled contest, yet their low market shares reflect the binding effect of the extension. A reversal before year-end would require an unexpected political or legal override of the extension, while any further slippage could reinforce the current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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