Traders price KMT nominee Johnny Chiang as the clear favorite in the November 28 Taichung mayoral race at roughly 77 percent implied probability, reflecting the party’s decade-long control of the city and unified backing after his primary win. DPP candidate Ho Hsin-chun trails at around 21 percent amid mixed polling, with most surveys since October showing Chiang ahead by 6–10 points while one independent November poll briefly placed her in front by a similar margin. Key campaign themes center on transportation upgrades and bus network reforms favored by Ho versus Chiang’s emphasis on AI-assisted public safety systems and industrial support. Both candidates have drawn high-profile party surrogates to the trail in the final weeks, and a televised debate is scheduled before the statutory polling blackout begins November 18.