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Política·Taiwán

Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Tainan

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Tainan
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Tainan

Chen Ting-fei 90%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 7%

Lin Yi-feng 2.4%

Lin Chun-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Chen Ting-fei 90%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 7%

Lin Yi-feng 2.4%

Lin Chun-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Chen Ting-fei

Chen Ting-fei

$2,348 Vol.

90%

icon for Hsieh Lung-chieh

Hsieh Lung-chieh

$441 Vol.

7%

icon for Lin Yi-feng

Lin Yi-feng

$176 Vol.

2%

icon for Lin Chun-hsien

Lin Chun-hsien

$157 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds a commanding lead in the Tainan mayoral race due to her decisive Democratic Progressive Party primary victory in January 2026 and Tainan's established status as a DPP stronghold. Official party polling and subsequent surveys through March showed her maintaining a clear edge over Kuomintang nominee Hsieh Lung-chieh, reflecting the DPP's organizational depth and voter base in southern Taiwan despite some narrowing in head-to-head matchups. KMT candidate selection and limited subsequent shifts in polling or endorsements have kept alternative outcomes, including other listed contenders, at low implied probabilities. The November 28 election date and absence of major scandals or realignments since spring have reinforced trader consensus around Chen as the frontrunner.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$3,121
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei holds a commanding lead in the Tainan mayoral race due to her decisive Democratic Progressive Party primary victory in January 2026 and Tainan's established status as a DPP stronghold. Official party polling and subsequent surveys through March showed her maintaining a clear edge over Kuomintang nominee Hsieh Lung-chieh, reflecting the DPP's organizational depth and voter base in southern Taiwan despite some narrowing in head-to-head matchups. KMT candidate selection and limited subsequent shifts in polling or endorsements have kept alternative outcomes, including other listed contenders, at low implied probabilities. The November 28 election date and absence of major scandals or realignments since spring have reinforced trader consensus around Chen as the frontrunner.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$3,121
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Tainan" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chen Ting-fei" con 90%, seguido de "Hsieh Lung-chieh" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Tainan" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Tainan", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Tainan" es "Chen Ting-fei" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Hsieh Lung-chieh" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Tainan" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.