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Política·Taiwán

Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taoyuan

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taoyuan
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taoyuan

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.0%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 2.0%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Chang San-cheng

Chang San-cheng

$2,769 Vol.

89%

icon for Huang Shih-chieh

Huang Shih-chieh

$1,374 Vol.

2%

icon for Perng Shaw-jiin

Perng Shaw-jiin

$1,176 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Chang San-cheng holds a commanding lead in the Taoyuan mayoral race for the November 28, 2026 local elections, backed by his re-election bid and consistent polling advantages over DPP nominee Huang Shih-chieh. Party nominations, including recent KMT candidate rallies, have reinforced Chang's position, while Huang's background as former deputy justice minister has not yet shifted voter sentiment in key battlegrounds. Traders reflect this dynamic through high implied probability on the incumbent, with other listed candidates showing minimal support consistent with limited campaign traction or viability under Taiwan's electoral system. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in local economic or cross-strait policy focus could still influence final turnout.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$5,319
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Chang San-cheng holds a commanding lead in the Taoyuan mayoral race for the November 28, 2026 local elections, backed by his re-election bid and consistent polling advantages over DPP nominee Huang Shih-chieh. Party nominations, including recent KMT candidate rallies, have reinforced Chang's position, while Huang's background as former deputy justice minister has not yet shifted voter sentiment in key battlegrounds. Traders reflect this dynamic through high implied probability on the incumbent, with other listed candidates showing minimal support consistent with limited campaign traction or viability under Taiwan's electoral system. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in local economic or cross-strait policy focus could still influence final turnout.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$5,319
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taoyuan" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chang San-cheng" con 89%, seguido de "Huang Shih-chieh" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 89¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taoyuan" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taoyuan", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taoyuan" es "Chang San-cheng" con 89%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Huang Shih-chieh" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taoyuan" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.