Tennessee's deep Republican lean and structural advantages for incumbent Bill Hagerty drive the market's strong consensus on a Republican win in the November 2026 Senate election. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw emerged from a fragmented field in a rematch of the 2020 contest. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on the state's voting history, with no Democratic victory in the seat since 1990. Trader pricing at 95.7% Republican reflects these fundamentals and limited opposition. A major scandal, unexpected health event for Hagerty, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Tennessee
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Tennessee
$24,670 Vol.
$24,670 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
96%
Demócrata
2%
$24,670 Vol.
$24,670 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$14,806 Vol.
96%
Demócrata
$9,864 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's deep Republican lean and structural advantages for incumbent Bill Hagerty drive the market's strong consensus on a Republican win in the November 2026 Senate election. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw emerged from a fragmented field in a rematch of the 2020 contest. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on the state's voting history, with no Democratic victory in the seat since 1990. Trader pricing at 95.7% Republican reflects these fundamentals and limited opposition. A major scandal, unexpected health event for Hagerty, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$24,670Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's deep Republican lean and structural advantages for incumbent Bill Hagerty drive the market's strong consensus on a Republican win in the November 2026 Senate election. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw emerged from a fragmented field in a rematch of the 2020 contest. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on the state's voting history, with no Democratic victory in the seat since 1990. Trader pricing at 95.7% Republican reflects these fundamentals and limited opposition. A major scandal, unexpected health event for Hagerty, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$24,670Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's deep Republican lean and structural advantages for incumbent Bill Hagerty drive the market's strong consensus on a Republican win in the November 2026 Senate election. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw emerged from a fragmented field in a rematch of the 2020 contest. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on the state's voting history, with no Democratic victory in the seat since 1990. Trader pricing at 95.7% Republican reflects these fundamentals and limited opposition. A major scandal, unexpected health event for Hagerty, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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