Recent polling from late July and early August shows both the Texas gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races as highly competitive, with Greg Abbott holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Gina Hinojosa and Ken Paxton facing James Talarico within a few points. These results, driven by strong Democratic performance among independents and moderates alongside Republican primary shifts, keep combined outcomes tightly bunched and elevate "other" split scenarios. High fundraising, turnout in urban and suburban areas, and the November 3 general election timeline sustain uncertainty, as modest swings in voter coalitions or late campaign developments could separate the probabilities across the listed combinations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoReps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado 41%
Arrase demócrata 38%
Victoria total de los republicanos 38%
Dems ganan gobernador, reps ganan Senado 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Arrase demócrata
38%
Victoria total de los republicanos
38%
Dems ganan gobernador, reps ganan Senado
37%
Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado
41%
Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado 41%
Arrase demócrata 38%
Victoria total de los republicanos 38%
Dems ganan gobernador, reps ganan Senado 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Arrase demócrata
$0 Vol.
38%
Victoria total de los republicanos
$0 Vol.
38%
Dems ganan gobernador, reps ganan Senado
$0 Vol.
37%
Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling from late July and early August shows both the Texas gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races as highly competitive, with Greg Abbott holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Gina Hinojosa and Ken Paxton facing James Talarico within a few points. These results, driven by strong Democratic performance among independents and moderates alongside Republican primary shifts, keep combined outcomes tightly bunched and elevate "other" split scenarios. High fundraising, turnout in urban and suburban areas, and the November 3 general election timeline sustain uncertainty, as modest swings in voter coalitions or late campaign developments could separate the probabilities across the listed combinations.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling from late July and early August shows both the Texas gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races as highly competitive, with Greg Abbott holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Gina Hinojosa and Ken Paxton facing James Talarico within a few points. These results, driven by strong Democratic performance among independents and moderates alongside Republican primary shifts, keep combined outcomes tightly bunched and elevate "other" split scenarios. High fundraising, turnout in urban and suburban areas, and the November 3 general election timeline sustain uncertainty, as modest swings in voter coalitions or late campaign developments could separate the probabilities across the listed combinations.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late July and early August shows both the Texas gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races as highly competitive, with Greg Abbott holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Gina Hinojosa and Ken Paxton facing James Talarico within a few points. These results, driven by strong Democratic performance among independents and moderates alongside Republican primary shifts, keep combined outcomes tightly bunched and elevate "other" split scenarios. High fundraising, turnout in urban and suburban areas, and the November 3 general election timeline sustain uncertainty, as modest swings in voter coalitions or late campaign developments could separate the probabilities across the listed combinations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes