Grand Theft Auto VI holds the strongest market position at 45.5% implied probability heading into The Game Awards on December 10, reflecting traders' assessment of its unmatched cultural anticipation and Rockstar's proven awards track record, even after the November 19 release delay for final polish. Early 2026 releases such as Resident Evil Requiem, Control Resonant, and 007 First Light have built solid critical and audience momentum through strong reviews and innovative entries, while titles like Marathon, Nioh 3, and Phantom Blade Zero compete on scope and technical ambition. With the ceremony still months away and many nominees yet to launch, outcomes hinge on late-year reviews, sales data, and guild-style industry sentiment, creating a fluid race where no single frontrunner has locked in decisive precursor advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoThe Game Awards: Juego del año
Nioh 3 37.0%
Gears of War: E-Day 36%
The Duskbloods 35.5%
Forza Horizon 6 35.3%
Nioh 3
37%
Gears of War: E-Day
36%
The Duskbloods
36%
Forza Horizon 6
35%
Phantom Blade Zero
35%
Cairn
35%
Reanimal
35%
Stranger Than Heaven
35%
Exodus
35%
Crimson Desert
35%
Esoteric Ebb
34%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
34%
Resident Evil Requiem
32%
Pragmata
28%
Marvel's Wolverine
7%
Control Resonant
6%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
5%
Fable
4%
Marathon
4%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Grand Theft Auto VI
44%
Half-Life 3
27%
007 First Light
27%
Saros
35%
Nioh 3 37.0%
Gears of War: E-Day 36%
The Duskbloods 35.5%
Forza Horizon 6 35.3%
Nioh 3
37%
Gears of War: E-Day
36%
The Duskbloods
36%
Forza Horizon 6
35%
Phantom Blade Zero
35%
Cairn
35%
Reanimal
35%
Stranger Than Heaven
35%
Exodus
35%
Crimson Desert
35%
Esoteric Ebb
34%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
34%
Resident Evil Requiem
32%
Pragmata
28%
Marvel's Wolverine
7%
Control Resonant
6%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
5%
Fable
4%
Marathon
4%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Grand Theft Auto VI
44%
Half-Life 3
27%
007 First Light
27%
Saros
35%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI holds the strongest market position at 45.5% implied probability heading into The Game Awards on December 10, reflecting traders' assessment of its unmatched cultural anticipation and Rockstar's proven awards track record, even after the November 19 release delay for final polish. Early 2026 releases such as Resident Evil Requiem, Control Resonant, and 007 First Light have built solid critical and audience momentum through strong reviews and innovative entries, while titles like Marathon, Nioh 3, and Phantom Blade Zero compete on scope and technical ambition. With the ceremony still months away and many nominees yet to launch, outcomes hinge on late-year reviews, sales data, and guild-style industry sentiment, creating a fluid race where no single frontrunner has locked in decisive precursor advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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