Incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger's unchallenged path in the solidly Republican TN-01 district, rated R+29 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican House election win at 92%. Harshbarger, who secured over 75% in her 2024 reelection, boasts $1.8 million cash-on-hand through late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke ($27,000) and others with negligible fundraising. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May preserved the district's safe status despite boundary tweaks and a filing deadline extension to May 15. With no GOP primary opponents after challengers withdrew, the August 6 primaries pose minimal risk; upset scenarios include late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave tilting midterm turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,202 Vol.
$12,202 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$12,202 Vol.
$12,202 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,982 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$4,220 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger's unchallenged path in the solidly Republican TN-01 district, rated R+29 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican House election win at 92%. Harshbarger, who secured over 75% in her 2024 reelection, boasts $1.8 million cash-on-hand through late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke ($27,000) and others with negligible fundraising. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May preserved the district's safe status despite boundary tweaks and a filing deadline extension to May 15. With no GOP primary opponents after challengers withdrew, the August 6 primaries pose minimal risk; upset scenarios include late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave tilting midterm turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$12,202Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger's unchallenged path in the solidly Republican TN-01 district, rated R+29 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican House election win at 92%. Harshbarger, who secured over 75% in her 2024 reelection, boasts $1.8 million cash-on-hand through late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke ($27,000) and others with negligible fundraising. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May preserved the district's safe status despite boundary tweaks and a filing deadline extension to May 15. With no GOP primary opponents after challengers withdrew, the August 6 primaries pose minimal risk; upset scenarios include late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave tilting midterm turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,202Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger's unchallenged path in the solidly Republican TN-01 district, rated R+29 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican House election win at 92%. Harshbarger, who secured over 75% in her 2024 reelection, boasts $1.8 million cash-on-hand through late March, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke ($27,000) and others with negligible fundraising. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in early May preserved the district's safe status despite boundary tweaks and a filing deadline extension to May 15. With no GOP primary opponents after challengers withdrew, the August 6 primaries pose minimal risk; upset scenarios include late scandals, health issues, or a massive national Democratic wave tilting midterm turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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