President Donald Trump's administration has advanced U.S. space policy through executive actions on commercial launches, a new Space Academy initiative, and support for Artemis lunar missions, yet no statements, schedules, or agency plans indicate any intent for the president to undertake a spaceflight before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 98% against such an event reflects standard security protocols, age-related medical considerations, absence of precedent for sitting presidents, and the short remaining timeline for crew selection or vehicle certification. A narrow set of developments could still shift probabilities, including an unexpected short-duration commercial suborbital flight arranged with private operators or a last-minute symbolic mission tied to policy milestones.