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Trump goes to space in 2026?

icon for Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

2% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
2% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trump's advanced age of 79, the rigorous physical and medical requirements for astronaut training, and the absence of any announced plans from NASA, SpaceX, or his administration have solidified trader consensus at 98% against him undertaking spaceflight in 2026, where the U.S. threshold is 50 miles above sea level. As president, Secret Service protocols, national security constraints, and a demanding schedule further preclude participation in crewed missions like Artemis or private orbital/suborbital flights. Recent highlights include his April 29 White House meeting with the Artemis II lunar flyby crew, where he joked about his fitness but signaled no personal intent. Only an improbable late-year surprise announcement and expedited training could shift odds, amid NASA's focus on professional astronauts for 2028 moon goals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,700
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trump's advanced age of 79, the rigorous physical and medical requirements for astronaut training, and the absence of any announced plans from NASA, SpaceX, or his administration have solidified trader consensus at 98% against him undertaking spaceflight in 2026, where the U.S. threshold is 50 miles above sea level. As president, Secret Service protocols, national security constraints, and a demanding schedule further preclude participation in crewed missions like Artemis or private orbital/suborbital flights. Recent highlights include his April 29 White House meeting with the Artemis II lunar flyby crew, where he joked about his fitness but signaled no personal intent. Only an improbable late-year surprise announcement and expedited training could shift odds, amid NASA's focus on professional astronauts for 2028 moon goals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,700
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump goes to space in 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 2% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 2¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Trump goes to space in 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Trump goes to space in 2026?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Trump goes to space in 2026?" es 2% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 2% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Trump goes to space in 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.