Turkey's ruling AKP has pursued a new "civilian constitution" since President Erdoğan's May 2025 appointment of legal experts to draft changes, with parliamentary speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stating in June 2026 that adoption could occur in 2026-2027 to strengthen national unity. However, advancing major constitutional reform requires at least 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 for direct passage, amid divided opposition, public polling against term-limit adjustments, and reliance on broader consensus including Kurdish support. As of mid-August 2026, no draft has advanced to votes or public consultation, leaving the process stalled relative to the calendar and sustaining trader consensus against meaningful progress this year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
18% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
18% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's ruling AKP has pursued a new "civilian constitution" since President Erdoğan's May 2025 appointment of legal experts to draft changes, with parliamentary speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stating in June 2026 that adoption could occur in 2026-2027 to strengthen national unity. However, advancing major constitutional reform requires at least 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 for direct passage, amid divided opposition, public polling against term-limit adjustments, and reliance on broader consensus including Kurdish support. As of mid-August 2026, no draft has advanced to votes or public consultation, leaving the process stalled relative to the calendar and sustaining trader consensus against meaningful progress this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$6,170Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's ruling AKP has pursued a new "civilian constitution" since President Erdoğan's May 2025 appointment of legal experts to draft changes, with parliamentary speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stating in June 2026 that adoption could occur in 2026-2027 to strengthen national unity. However, advancing major constitutional reform requires at least 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 for direct passage, amid divided opposition, public polling against term-limit adjustments, and reliance on broader consensus including Kurdish support. As of mid-August 2026, no draft has advanced to votes or public consultation, leaving the process stalled relative to the calendar and sustaining trader consensus against meaningful progress this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,170Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey's ruling AKP has pursued a new "civilian constitution" since President Erdoğan's May 2025 appointment of legal experts to draft changes, with parliamentary speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stating in June 2026 that adoption could occur in 2026-2027 to strengthen national unity. However, advancing major constitutional reform requires at least 360 parliamentary votes to trigger a referendum or 400 for direct passage, amid divided opposition, public polling against term-limit adjustments, and reliance on broader consensus including Kurdish support. As of mid-August 2026, no draft has advanced to votes or public consultation, leaving the process stalled relative to the calendar and sustaining trader consensus against meaningful progress this year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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