SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware, enabling planned ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstrations in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key upgrades including engine relight and intact reentry with Starlink V3 deployment, while Flight 14 targets late September 2026 for the first true orbital insertion, multi-orbit operations, and satellite release. Trader sentiment reflects the near-term sequence of sequential launches needed for a target-tanker pair, alongside ongoing FAA licensing for extended orbital missions. Elon Musk has highlighted that automated self-docking should prove simpler than prior Dragon-ISS operations. Key catalysts include post-Flight 14 data review, tower catch attempts on Flight 15, and any Q4 2026 refueling test timeline shifts driven by regulatory or technical hurdles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$70,413 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
3%
31 de diciembre de 2027
52%
$70,413 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$46,244 Vol.
3%
31 de diciembre de 2027
$24,169 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware, enabling planned ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstrations in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key upgrades including engine relight and intact reentry with Starlink V3 deployment, while Flight 14 targets late September 2026 for the first true orbital insertion, multi-orbit operations, and satellite release. Trader sentiment reflects the near-term sequence of sequential launches needed for a target-tanker pair, alongside ongoing FAA licensing for extended orbital missions. Elon Musk has highlighted that automated self-docking should prove simpler than prior Dragon-ISS operations. Key catalysts include post-Flight 14 data review, tower catch attempts on Flight 15, and any Q4 2026 refueling test timeline shifts driven by regulatory or technical hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$70,413Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware, enabling planned ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstrations in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key upgrades including engine relight and intact reentry with Starlink V3 deployment, while Flight 14 targets late September 2026 for the first true orbital insertion, multi-orbit operations, and satellite release. Trader sentiment reflects the near-term sequence of sequential launches needed for a target-tanker pair, alongside ongoing FAA licensing for extended orbital missions. Elon Musk has highlighted that automated self-docking should prove simpler than prior Dragon-ISS operations. Key catalysts include post-Flight 14 data review, tower catch attempts on Flight 15, and any Q4 2026 refueling test timeline shifts driven by regulatory or technical hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$70,413Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware, enabling planned ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstrations in low Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key upgrades including engine relight and intact reentry with Starlink V3 deployment, while Flight 14 targets late September 2026 for the first true orbital insertion, multi-orbit operations, and satellite release. Trader sentiment reflects the near-term sequence of sequential launches needed for a target-tanker pair, alongside ongoing FAA licensing for extended orbital missions. Elon Musk has highlighted that automated self-docking should prove simpler than prior Dragon-ISS operations. Key catalysts include post-Flight 14 data review, tower catch attempts on Flight 15, and any Q4 2026 refueling test timeline shifts driven by regulatory or technical hurdles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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