The Republican nominee Craig Goldman maintains a commanding lead in Texas’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The district’s suburban and rural North Texas voters have delivered reliable support for GOP House candidates, reinforced by Goldman’s unopposed or low-opposition advance through the March 2026 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman confronts structural limits in fundraising, voter base mobilization, and turnout patterns typical of the seat. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate these would need exceptional conditions to overcome the district baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-12
$25,082 Vol.
$25,082 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$25,082 Vol.
$25,082 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,314 Vol.
91%
Partido Demócrata
$9,768 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee Craig Goldman maintains a commanding lead in Texas’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The district’s suburban and rural North Texas voters have delivered reliable support for GOP House candidates, reinforced by Goldman’s unopposed or low-opposition advance through the March 2026 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman confronts structural limits in fundraising, voter base mobilization, and turnout patterns typical of the seat. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate these would need exceptional conditions to overcome the district baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$25,082Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee Craig Goldman maintains a commanding lead in Texas’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The district’s suburban and rural North Texas voters have delivered reliable support for GOP House candidates, reinforced by Goldman’s unopposed or low-opposition advance through the March 2026 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman confronts structural limits in fundraising, voter base mobilization, and turnout patterns typical of the seat. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate these would need exceptional conditions to overcome the district baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,082Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee Craig Goldman maintains a commanding lead in Texas’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The district’s suburban and rural North Texas voters have delivered reliable support for GOP House candidates, reinforced by Goldman’s unopposed or low-opposition advance through the March 2026 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman confronts structural limits in fundraising, voter base mobilization, and turnout patterns typical of the seat. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate these would need exceptional conditions to overcome the district baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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