Texas's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage rooted in its urban Dallas demographics, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent 70-plus percent Democratic performance in recent statewide and presidential races. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid left an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Frederick Haynes III, while Republican Everett Jackson emerged from the May runoff. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout patterns or late-breaking events capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-30
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-30
$42,644 Vol.
$42,644 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
3%
$42,644 Vol.
$42,644 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,578 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$37,067 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage rooted in its urban Dallas demographics, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent 70-plus percent Democratic performance in recent statewide and presidential races. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid left an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Frederick Haynes III, while Republican Everett Jackson emerged from the May runoff. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout patterns or late-breaking events capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$42,644Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage rooted in its urban Dallas demographics, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent 70-plus percent Democratic performance in recent statewide and presidential races. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid left an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Frederick Haynes III, while Republican Everett Jackson emerged from the May runoff. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout patterns or late-breaking events capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,644Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage rooted in its urban Dallas demographics, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent 70-plus percent Democratic performance in recent statewide and presidential races. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid left an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Frederick Haynes III, while Republican Everett Jackson emerged from the May runoff. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in turnout patterns or late-breaking events capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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