The Texas 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan lean, recent voting patterns, and consistent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Incumbent Wesley Hunt’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but the Republican primary process concluded with Jon Bonck securing the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary with limited resources or visibility in the west Houston and northwest Harris County area. No polls or late developments have altered the race’s trajectory in recent weeks, and forecasters continue to classify it as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s established electoral math and the absence of competitive indicators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-38
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-38
$26,249 Vol.
$26,249 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$26,249 Vol.
$26,249 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$17,229 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$9,020 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan lean, recent voting patterns, and consistent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Incumbent Wesley Hunt’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but the Republican primary process concluded with Jon Bonck securing the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary with limited resources or visibility in the west Houston and northwest Harris County area. No polls or late developments have altered the race’s trajectory in recent weeks, and forecasters continue to classify it as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s established electoral math and the absence of competitive indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$26,249Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan lean, recent voting patterns, and consistent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Incumbent Wesley Hunt’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but the Republican primary process concluded with Jon Bonck securing the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary with limited resources or visibility in the west Houston and northwest Harris County area. No polls or late developments have altered the race’s trajectory in recent weeks, and forecasters continue to classify it as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s established electoral math and the absence of competitive indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,249Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan lean, recent voting patterns, and consistent nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Incumbent Wesley Hunt’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but the Republican primary process concluded with Jon Bonck securing the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough advanced from her March primary with limited resources or visibility in the west Houston and northwest Harris County area. No polls or late developments have altered the race’s trajectory in recent weeks, and forecasters continue to classify it as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s established electoral math and the absence of competitive indicators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes