Conor McGregor leads at 72% implied probability in this market primarily because of mounting reports that the UFC is prioritizing their rematch for UFC 329 in July, capitalizing on McGregor's long-awaited return after five years away and Holloway's recent unanimous-decision loss to Charles Oliveira at UFC 326. Holloway has publicly confirmed he has begun training camp while alluding to the matchup, aligning with insider updates from Ariel Helwani that the fight is the promotion's top choice. Benoît Saint Denis, Arman Tsarukyan, and Paddy Pimblett cluster around 15-16% as plausible alternatives if the McGregor bout falls through, reflecting their strong recent form in the lightweight division and stylistic appeal for Holloway. Lower probabilities for Ilia Topuria and others capture the remaining uncertainty around scheduling and opponent availability in the featherweight-lightweight landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoConor McGregor 66%
Arman Tsarukyan 15.6%
Mateusz Gamrot 15.6%
Alexander Volkanovski 3.2%
$56,265 Vol.
$56,265 Vol.
Conor McGregor
72%
Arman Tsarukyan
16%
Mateusz Gamrot
16%
Alexander Volkanovski
3%
Maurício Ruffy
1%
Paddy Pimblett
1%
Benoît Saint Denis
15%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Islam Makhachev
<1%
Ilia Topuria
10%
Justin Gaethje
<1%
Conor McGregor 66%
Arman Tsarukyan 15.6%
Mateusz Gamrot 15.6%
Alexander Volkanovski 3.2%
$56,265 Vol.
$56,265 Vol.
Conor McGregor
72%
Arman Tsarukyan
16%
Mateusz Gamrot
16%
Alexander Volkanovski
3%
Maurício Ruffy
1%
Paddy Pimblett
1%
Benoît Saint Denis
15%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Islam Makhachev
<1%
Ilia Topuria
10%
Justin Gaethje
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Mercado abierto: Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Conor McGregor leads at 72% implied probability in this market primarily because of mounting reports that the UFC is prioritizing their rematch for UFC 329 in July, capitalizing on McGregor's long-awaited return after five years away and Holloway's recent unanimous-decision loss to Charles Oliveira at UFC 326. Holloway has publicly confirmed he has begun training camp while alluding to the matchup, aligning with insider updates from Ariel Helwani that the fight is the promotion's top choice. Benoît Saint Denis, Arman Tsarukyan, and Paddy Pimblett cluster around 15-16% as plausible alternatives if the McGregor bout falls through, reflecting their strong recent form in the lightweight division and stylistic appeal for Holloway. Lower probabilities for Ilia Topuria and others capture the remaining uncertainty around scheduling and opponent availability in the featherweight-lightweight landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes