Labour’s sharp decline in national polls—to the low-to-mid 20s—and heavy losses in the May 2026 local, Scottish, and Welsh elections have raised the prospect of an early general election, though Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion to set the date before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Reform UK’s strong showing in those contests and ongoing leadership speculation within Labour add volatility that could prompt a snap vote if by-election results or economic pressures intensify. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to a mid-2027 call, viewing a 2026 dissolution as unlikely absent a sudden crisis while still pricing in meaningful probability for an earlier reset than the full five-year term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?
¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?
$819,866 Vol.
31 dic 2026
December 31, 2026
15%
June 30, 2027
31%
$819,866 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$24,753 Vol.
15%
June 30, 2027
$3,965 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour’s sharp decline in national polls—to the low-to-mid 20s—and heavy losses in the May 2026 local, Scottish, and Welsh elections have raised the prospect of an early general election, though Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion to set the date before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Reform UK’s strong showing in those contests and ongoing leadership speculation within Labour add volatility that could prompt a snap vote if by-election results or economic pressures intensify. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to a mid-2027 call, viewing a 2026 dissolution as unlikely absent a sudden crisis while still pricing in meaningful probability for an earlier reset than the full five-year term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volumen
$819,866Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour’s sharp decline in national polls—to the low-to-mid 20s—and heavy losses in the May 2026 local, Scottish, and Welsh elections have raised the prospect of an early general election, though Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion to set the date before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Reform UK’s strong showing in those contests and ongoing leadership speculation within Labour add volatility that could prompt a snap vote if by-election results or economic pressures intensify. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to a mid-2027 call, viewing a 2026 dissolution as unlikely absent a sudden crisis while still pricing in meaningful probability for an earlier reset than the full five-year term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$819,866Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Labour’s sharp decline in national polls—to the low-to-mid 20s—and heavy losses in the May 2026 local, Scottish, and Welsh elections have raised the prospect of an early general election, though Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion to set the date before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Reform UK’s strong showing in those contests and ongoing leadership speculation within Labour add volatility that could prompt a snap vote if by-election results or economic pressures intensify. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to a mid-2027 call, viewing a 2026 dissolution as unlikely absent a sudden crisis while still pricing in meaningful probability for an earlier reset than the full five-year term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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