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icon for ¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?

¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?

icon for ¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?

¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?

10% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

10% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance remains the leading Republican contender for the 2028 nomination, with President Trump publicly floating a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as recently as early June 2026. Vance has repeatedly deflected questions about his plans by emphasizing his focus on the vice presidency, most notably in May statements insisting he is “not a potential future candidate” and prefers his current role. These comments have not included any formal withdrawal from consideration. Recent activity, including a May visit to Iowa to support a House candidate, aligns with standard positioning by an incumbent vice president rather than signaling an exit. No developments in the first half of 2026 indicate Vance intends to close the door on a run this year, consistent with historical patterns in which sitting vice presidents keep their options open until closer to the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$9,970
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance remains the leading Republican contender for the 2028 nomination, with President Trump publicly floating a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as recently as early June 2026. Vance has repeatedly deflected questions about his plans by emphasizing his focus on the vice presidency, most notably in May statements insisting he is “not a potential future candidate” and prefers his current role. These comments have not included any formal withdrawal from consideration. Recent activity, including a May visit to Iowa to support a House candidate, aligns with standard positioning by an incumbent vice president rather than signaling an exit. No developments in the first half of 2026 indicate Vance intends to close the door on a run this year, consistent with historical patterns in which sitting vice presidents keep their options open until closer to the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$9,970
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" es "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.