Delcy Rodríguez assumed interim presidential powers in early January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice directing her to exercise executive authority and the military publicly endorsing continuity. She has since consolidated control by replacing cabinet members and security officials tied to the prior inner circle, advancing oil and diplomatic agreements with Washington that include sanctions relief, and leading government participation in U.S.-backed transition talks with opposition figures. These steps have entrenched her de facto command over state institutions and the armed forces through September, producing trader consensus around her continued leadership at year-end. Potential shifts could arise from completed negotiations yielding early elections, internal challenges from figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or abrupt changes in U.S. policy during the ongoing dialogue process.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDelcy Rodríguez 93%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio 1.3%
Sin Jefe de Estado <1%
$400,462 Vol.
$400,462 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
93%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
Sin Jefe de Estado
1%
Dinorah Figuera
1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 93%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio 1.3%
Sin Jefe de Estado <1%
$400,462 Vol.
$400,462 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$113,109 Vol.
93%
María Corina Machado
$53,484 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$6,549 Vol.
1%
Sin Jefe de Estado
$67,180 Vol.
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,633 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$3,079 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,441 Vol.
<1%
Edmundo González
$4,128 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,349 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,247 Vol.
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,907 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,574 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,926 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,170 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,309 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,378 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez assumed interim presidential powers in early January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice directing her to exercise executive authority and the military publicly endorsing continuity. She has since consolidated control by replacing cabinet members and security officials tied to the prior inner circle, advancing oil and diplomatic agreements with Washington that include sanctions relief, and leading government participation in U.S.-backed transition talks with opposition figures. These steps have entrenched her de facto command over state institutions and the armed forces through September, producing trader consensus around her continued leadership at year-end. Potential shifts could arise from completed negotiations yielding early elections, internal challenges from figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or abrupt changes in U.S. policy during the ongoing dialogue process.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volumen
$400,462Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez assumed interim presidential powers in early January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice directing her to exercise executive authority and the military publicly endorsing continuity. She has since consolidated control by replacing cabinet members and security officials tied to the prior inner circle, advancing oil and diplomatic agreements with Washington that include sanctions relief, and leading government participation in U.S.-backed transition talks with opposition figures. These steps have entrenched her de facto command over state institutions and the armed forces through September, producing trader consensus around her continued leadership at year-end. Potential shifts could arise from completed negotiations yielding early elections, internal challenges from figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or abrupt changes in U.S. policy during the ongoing dialogue process.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volumen
$400,462Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez assumed interim presidential powers in early January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice directing her to exercise executive authority and the military publicly endorsing continuity. She has since consolidated control by replacing cabinet members and security officials tied to the prior inner circle, advancing oil and diplomatic agreements with Washington that include sanctions relief, and leading government participation in U.S.-backed transition talks with opposition figures. These steps have entrenched her de facto command over state institutions and the armed forces through September, producing trader consensus around her continued leadership at year-end. Potential shifts could arise from completed negotiations yielding early elections, internal challenges from figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or abrupt changes in U.S. policy during the ongoing dialogue process.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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