Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?

¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?

icon for ¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?

¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?

Winchester Modelo 1873 45%

Colt Peacemaker 18%

M1 Garand 14.1%

Colt M1911 13%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Winchester Modelo 1873 45%

Colt Peacemaker 18%

M1 Garand 14.1%

Colt M1911 13%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Winchester Modelo 1873

$2,642 Vol.

45%

Colt Peacemaker

$1,675 Vol.

18%

M1 Garand

$285 Vol.

14%

Colt M1911

$1,299 Vol.

13%

Winchester Model 1894

$796 Vol.

6%

Remington Modelo 700

$487 Vol.

1%

The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).Idaho voters will select a preferred official state gun via a non-binding advisory question on the November 3, 2026 ballot under House Bill 932, which passed both chambers unanimously and was signed into law in early April. The measure lists six historic firearms tied to the U.S. 250th anniversary and Idaho’s high per-capita gun ownership and hunting traditions, with the top vote share intended only to guide future legislative action. Trader odds remain closely divided because the options span distinct eras—frontier lever-actions and revolvers, World War II-era military arms, and contemporary hunting rifles—each resonating with different segments of the state’s firearm culture and heritage narratives. The Winchester Model 1873 holds a modest lead in market pricing, while no major campaign developments or additional options have emerged in recent weeks to shift sentiment ahead of election day.

The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Volumen
$7,185
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).Idaho voters will select a preferred official state gun via a non-binding advisory question on the November 3, 2026 ballot under House Bill 932, which passed both chambers unanimously and was signed into law in early April. The measure lists six historic firearms tied to the U.S. 250th anniversary and Idaho’s high per-capita gun ownership and hunting traditions, with the top vote share intended only to guide future legislative action. Trader odds remain closely divided because the options span distinct eras—frontier lever-actions and revolvers, World War II-era military arms, and contemporary hunting rifles—each resonating with different segments of the state’s firearm culture and heritage narratives. The Winchester Model 1873 holds a modest lead in market pricing, while no major campaign developments or additional options have emerged in recent weeks to shift sentiment ahead of election day.

The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Volumen
$7,185
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Winchester Modelo 1873" con 45%, seguido de "Colt Peacemaker" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?" es "Winchester Modelo 1873" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Colt Peacemaker" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué elegirán los votantes de Idaho como su arma estatal?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.