OpenAI’s recent $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, alongside revenue run-rate exceeding $40 billion, forms the core driver behind Polymarket’s tight clustering around $1.25T–$2.0T outcomes. Traders weigh sustained AI demand and enterprise adoption against persistent losses exceeding $1 per revenue dollar and competition from rivals, creating balanced implied probabilities across the mid-range brackets. A potential confidential IPO filing and possible debut in late 2026 or 2027 add timing uncertainty, with multiples near 40x annualized revenue requiring continued hypergrowth to support higher valuations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
$1.25T–$1.5T 19.7%
$1.5T–$1.75T 14.6%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
$58,854 Vol.
$58,854 Vol.
1 jul 2027
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
20%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
4%
$2.5T+
6%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
$1.25T–$1.5T 19.7%
$1.5T–$1.75T 14.6%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
$58,854 Vol.
$58,854 Vol.
1 jul 2027
<$1T
$4,390 Vol.
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$6,312 Vol.
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$4,030 Vol.
20%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$3,072 Vol.
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$8,385 Vol.
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,998 Vol.
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$1,955 Vol.
4%
$2.5T+
$28,712 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, alongside revenue run-rate exceeding $40 billion, forms the core driver behind Polymarket’s tight clustering around $1.25T–$2.0T outcomes. Traders weigh sustained AI demand and enterprise adoption against persistent losses exceeding $1 per revenue dollar and competition from rivals, creating balanced implied probabilities across the mid-range brackets. A potential confidential IPO filing and possible debut in late 2026 or 2027 add timing uncertainty, with multiples near 40x annualized revenue requiring continued hypergrowth to support higher valuations.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$58,854Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, alongside revenue run-rate exceeding $40 billion, forms the core driver behind Polymarket’s tight clustering around $1.25T–$2.0T outcomes. Traders weigh sustained AI demand and enterprise adoption against persistent losses exceeding $1 per revenue dollar and competition from rivals, creating balanced implied probabilities across the mid-range brackets. A potential confidential IPO filing and possible debut in late 2026 or 2027 add timing uncertainty, with multiples near 40x annualized revenue requiring continued hypergrowth to support higher valuations.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$58,854Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s recent $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, alongside revenue run-rate exceeding $40 billion, forms the core driver behind Polymarket’s tight clustering around $1.25T–$2.0T outcomes. Traders weigh sustained AI demand and enterprise adoption against persistent losses exceeding $1 per revenue dollar and competition from rivals, creating balanced implied probabilities across the mid-range brackets. A potential confidential IPO filing and possible debut in late 2026 or 2027 add timing uncertainty, with multiples near 40x annualized revenue requiring continued hypergrowth to support higher valuations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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