Recent U.S. housing data show median home values stabilizing near $400,000–$425,000 levels through April 2026, supported by chronically low existing-home inventory and builder incentives that offset elevated mortgage rates above 6 percent. Tight supply continues to anchor prices despite slower sales and modest year-over-year gains of 0.5–1.7 percent reported by FHFA and Zillow indices, while new-home median prices dipped to $387,400 in March. With May 31 resolution just days away, traders are pricing in limited upside from seasonal demand or potential rate relief, resulting in tightly contested buckets clustered around 434k–440k that reflect uncertainty over whether spring activity can push values higher before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhat will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
436 - 438k 24%
434 - 436k 22%
442 - 445k 18%
432 - 434k 17%
<432k
15%
432 - 434k
17%
434 - 436k
20%
436 - 438k
22%
438 - 440k
16%
440 - 442k
12%
442 - 445k
11%
>445k
8%
436 - 438k 24%
434 - 436k 22%
442 - 445k 18%
432 - 434k 17%
<432k
15%
432 - 434k
17%
434 - 436k
20%
436 - 438k
22%
438 - 440k
16%
440 - 442k
12%
442 - 445k
11%
>445k
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data show median home values stabilizing near $400,000–$425,000 levels through April 2026, supported by chronically low existing-home inventory and builder incentives that offset elevated mortgage rates above 6 percent. Tight supply continues to anchor prices despite slower sales and modest year-over-year gains of 0.5–1.7 percent reported by FHFA and Zillow indices, while new-home median prices dipped to $387,400 in March. With May 31 resolution just days away, traders are pricing in limited upside from seasonal demand or potential rate relief, resulting in tightly contested buckets clustered around 434k–440k that reflect uncertainty over whether spring activity can push values higher before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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