Google's next Gemini Pro flagship remains delayed following the May 2026 announcement of the 3.5 series at I/O, with the Pro variant still absent from the public API, pricing pages, and Gemini app as of mid-August despite internal testing with partners and an initial June-July target. Repeated slips—attributed to performance shortfalls against internal goals—have shifted focus to faster Flash iterations like the August 13 3.7 release, while DeepMind has begun pre-training for Gemini 4. These factors, combined with the six-month gap since Gemini 3.1 Pro's February launch, underpin the market's elevated 55.5% probability of no release by November 1 and the compressed near-term windows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin lanzamiento antes del 1 de noviembre 40%
7–13 de septiembre 25%
Antes del 31 de agosto 24%
31 de agosto–6 de septiembre 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
Antes del 31 de agosto
24%
31 de agosto–6 de septiembre
24%
7–13 de septiembre
25%
14 de septiembre–20 de septiembre
24%
21 de septiembre–27 de septiembre
23%
28 de septiembre–4 de octubre
23%
5–11 de octubre
23%
12 de octubre–18 de octubre
22%
19–25 de octubre
22%
26 de octubre–1 de noviembre
23%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 1 de noviembre
56%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 1 de noviembre 40%
7–13 de septiembre 25%
Antes del 31 de agosto 24%
31 de agosto–6 de septiembre 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
Antes del 31 de agosto
$0 Vol.
24%
31 de agosto–6 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
24%
7–13 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
25%
14 de septiembre–20 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
24%
21 de septiembre–27 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
23%
28 de septiembre–4 de octubre
$0 Vol.
23%
5–11 de octubre
$0 Vol.
23%
12 de octubre–18 de octubre
$0 Vol.
22%
19–25 de octubre
$0 Vol.
22%
26 de octubre–1 de noviembre
$0 Vol.
23%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 1 de noviembre
$47 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro flagship remains delayed following the May 2026 announcement of the 3.5 series at I/O, with the Pro variant still absent from the public API, pricing pages, and Gemini app as of mid-August despite internal testing with partners and an initial June-July target. Repeated slips—attributed to performance shortfalls against internal goals—have shifted focus to faster Flash iterations like the August 13 3.7 release, while DeepMind has begun pre-training for Gemini 4. These factors, combined with the six-month gap since Gemini 3.1 Pro's February launch, underpin the market's elevated 55.5% probability of no release by November 1 and the compressed near-term windows.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volumen
$47Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro flagship remains delayed following the May 2026 announcement of the 3.5 series at I/O, with the Pro variant still absent from the public API, pricing pages, and Gemini app as of mid-August despite internal testing with partners and an initial June-July target. Repeated slips—attributed to performance shortfalls against internal goals—have shifted focus to faster Flash iterations like the August 13 3.7 release, while DeepMind has begun pre-training for Gemini 4. These factors, combined with the six-month gap since Gemini 3.1 Pro's February launch, underpin the market's elevated 55.5% probability of no release by November 1 and the compressed near-term windows.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$47Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's next Gemini Pro flagship remains delayed following the May 2026 announcement of the 3.5 series at I/O, with the Pro variant still absent from the public API, pricing pages, and Gemini app as of mid-August despite internal testing with partners and an initial June-July target. Repeated slips—attributed to performance shortfalls against internal goals—have shifted focus to faster Flash iterations like the August 13 3.7 release, while DeepMind has begun pre-training for Gemini 4. These factors, combined with the six-month gap since Gemini 3.1 Pro's February launch, underpin the market's elevated 55.5% probability of no release by November 1 and the compressed near-term windows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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