NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center indicates near-normal precipitation probabilities across much of the contiguous United States for early July, with scattered thunderstorms favored in typical summer patterns over the East, Midwest, and South due to monsoon moisture and frontal boundaries. Current dynamical models show mixed signals on exact timing and placement of rainfall four days out, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 3–7 day precipitation forecasts amid variable steering patterns and convective initiation. Authoritative updates from the National Weather Service and refreshed model guidance will refine land-area probabilities through the holiday weekend, directly informing trader assessments of where measurable rain occurs on July 4.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhere will it rain on the 4th of July?
Where will it rain on the 4th of July?
NUEVO
6 jul 2026
Dallas
49%
Atlanta
50%
San Francisco
50%
Boston
50%
Denver
50%
New York City
49%
Washington D.C.
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Dallas
$0 Vol.
49%
Atlanta
$0 Vol.
50%
San Francisco
$0 Vol.
50%
Boston
$0 Vol.
50%
Denver
$0 Vol.
50%
New York City
$0 Vol.
49%
Washington D.C.
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Atlanta Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Atlanta Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ffc link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in San Francisco, CA on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “San Francisco City, CA” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Boston Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Boston Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=box link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Denver Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Denver Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the NY-Central Park Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “NY-Central Park Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Washington Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Washington Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center indicates near-normal precipitation probabilities across much of the contiguous United States for early July, with scattered thunderstorms favored in typical summer patterns over the East, Midwest, and South due to monsoon moisture and frontal boundaries. Current dynamical models show mixed signals on exact timing and placement of rainfall four days out, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 3–7 day precipitation forecasts amid variable steering patterns and convective initiation. Authoritative updates from the National Weather Service and refreshed model guidance will refine land-area probabilities through the holiday weekend, directly informing trader assessments of where measurable rain occurs on July 4.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Atlanta Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Atlanta Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ffc link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in San Francisco, CA on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “San Francisco City, CA” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Boston Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Boston Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=box link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Denver Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Denver Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the NY-Central Park Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “NY-Central Park Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Washington Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Washington Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center indicates near-normal precipitation probabilities across much of the contiguous United States for early July, with scattered thunderstorms favored in typical summer patterns over the East, Midwest, and South due to monsoon moisture and frontal boundaries. Current dynamical models show mixed signals on exact timing and placement of rainfall four days out, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 3–7 day precipitation forecasts amid variable steering patterns and convective initiation. Authoritative updates from the National Weather Service and refreshed model guidance will refine land-area probabilities through the holiday weekend, directly informing trader assessments of where measurable rain occurs on July 4.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center indicates near-normal precipitation probabilities across much of the contiguous United States for early July, with scattered thunderstorms favored in typical summer patterns over the East, Midwest, and South due to monsoon moisture and frontal boundaries. Current dynamical models show mixed signals on exact timing and placement of rainfall four days out, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 3–7 day precipitation forecasts amid variable steering patterns and convective initiation. Authoritative updates from the National Weather Service and refreshed model guidance will refine land-area probabilities through the holiday weekend, directly informing trader assessments of where measurable rain occurs on July 4.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes