The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now exceeding 7,000 confirmed cases and 3,400 deaths across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for countries likely to record cases by year-end. Rapid geographic expansion from the Ituri epicenter into North Kivu, neighboring Uganda with 20 cases, and imported infections in France and Germany have elevated probabilities for regional neighbors like South Sudan. Heightened border screenings, visa restrictions, and displacement camps complicate containment, while the absence of a strain-specific vaccine sustains uncertainty around further international spread before December 31. Traders watch daily case reports and contact-tracing updates as key swing factors in this high-stakes public health narrative.