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Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?
Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

jun 30

dic 31

jun 30

dic 31

$103,951 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$103,951 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Líbano

Líbano

$27,890 Vol.

66%

icon for Túnez

Túnez

$6,244 Vol.

20%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$5,429 Vol.

15%

icon for Siria

Siria

$5,810 Vol.

12%

icon for Arabia Saudita

Arabia Saudita

$17,851 Vol.

12%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$1,215 Vol.

11%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$1,159 Vol.

11%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$2,239 Vol.

11%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$7,029 Vol.

8%

icon for Irán

Irán

$3,661 Vol.

8%

icon for Catar

Catar

$7,325 Vol.

7%

icon for Irak

Irak

$302 Vol.

7%

icon for Pakistán

Pakistán

$2,269 Vol.

6%

icon for Corea del Norte

Corea del Norte

$1,478 Vol.

5%

icon for Afganistán

Afganistán

$10,000 Vol.

5%

icon for Malasia

Malasia

$4,056 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$103,951
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Ventana de disputas

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$103,951
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Ventana de disputas

Final

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Líbano" con 66%, seguido de "Túnez" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" ha generado $104K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "Líbano" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Túnez" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.