This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The finalized January 2026 closure of TikTok’s U.S. operations into a majority American-owned joint venture led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX has driven strong trader consensus around an Oracle-led outcome. Under the structure, the three investors each hold 15 percent, ByteDance retains 19.9 percent, and the remainder is distributed among prior backers, satisfying the Trump administration’s divestiture requirements and ending the threat of a nationwide ban. Recent policy updates allowing greater use of U.S. user data for algorithm retraining and AI model development have reinforced the platform’s new operational independence while highlighting ongoing regulatory scrutiny in Europe. Traders are now watching for any leadership announcements or monetization shifts that could further clarify long-term control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
The finalized January 2026 closure of TikTok’s U.S. operations into a majority American-owned joint venture led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX has driven strong trader consensus around an Oracle-led outcome. Under the structure, the three investors each hold 15 percent, ByteDance retains 19.9 percent, and the remainder is distributed among prior backers, satisfying the Trump administration’s divestiture requirements and ending the threat of a nationwide ban. Recent policy updates allowing greater use of U.S. user data for algorithm retraining and AI model development have reinforced the platform’s new operational independence while highlighting ongoing regulatory scrutiny in Europe. Traders are now watching for any leadership announcements or monetization shifts that could further clarify long-term control.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new American entity
TikTok completed the deal to spin off its U.S. operations into a new joint venture with American investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX. This official announcement confirmed the formation of the new U.S. entity under defined safeguards, resolving the market uncertainty about TikTok's ownership and operation in the U.S.
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to keep operating in US
TikTok announced the completion of the deal to establish a U.S.-based version of the app under majority American control, ending a yearslong battle over access to the app in the U.S. The new joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as major investors, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake, confirming the official acquisition structure.
May 7 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new US joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok announced the completion of a deal to spin off its US operations into a new joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and Emirati firm MGX, each holding 15% stakes, while ByteDance retains 19.9%. The new entity will operate under safeguards for national security, including data protection and algorithm retraining on US data. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats of a US ban, causing market prices for acquisition outcomes to stabilize.
May 7 2026
TikTok deal praised by Donald Trump on social media
Former President Donald Trump publicly praised the TikTok deal on social media, thanking Chinese leader Xi Jinping for approving the deal and expressing hope to be remembered by TikTok users. Trump's endorsement highlighted the political significance of the deal and its resolution of the US regulatory impasse, influencing market sentiment.
Jan 22 2026
TikTok signs deal to form new US unit with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok signed binding agreements with major investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to create a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, ensuring continued operation in the U.S. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats, including a potential ban, and was a critical step toward compliance with U.S. national security concerns.
Dec 14 2025
TikTok finalizes deal to form new U.S. joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 2%9%
TikTok announced a partnership with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX to spin off its U.S. operations into a new entity, removing the immediate threat of a forced sale or ban and lowering market expectations for a takeover by any listed buyer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The finalized January 2026 closure of TikTok’s U.S. operations into a majority American-owned joint venture led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX has driven strong trader consensus around an Oracle-led outcome. Under the structure, the three investors each hold 15 percent, ByteDance retains 19.9 percent, and the remainder is distributed among prior backers, satisfying the Trump administration’s divestiture requirements and ending the threat of a nationwide ban. Recent policy updates allowing greater use of U.S. user data for algorithm retraining and AI model development have reinforced the platform’s new operational independence while highlighting ongoing regulatory scrutiny in Europe. Traders are now watching for any leadership announcements or monetization shifts that could further clarify long-term control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
The finalized January 2026 closure of TikTok’s U.S. operations into a majority American-owned joint venture led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX has driven strong trader consensus around an Oracle-led outcome. Under the structure, the three investors each hold 15 percent, ByteDance retains 19.9 percent, and the remainder is distributed among prior backers, satisfying the Trump administration’s divestiture requirements and ending the threat of a nationwide ban. Recent policy updates allowing greater use of U.S. user data for algorithm retraining and AI model development have reinforced the platform’s new operational independence while highlighting ongoing regulatory scrutiny in Europe. Traders are now watching for any leadership announcements or monetization shifts that could further clarify long-term control.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new American entity
TikTok completed the deal to spin off its U.S. operations into a new joint venture with American investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX. This official announcement confirmed the formation of the new U.S. entity under defined safeguards, resolving the market uncertainty about TikTok's ownership and operation in the U.S.
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to keep operating in US
TikTok announced the completion of the deal to establish a U.S.-based version of the app under majority American control, ending a yearslong battle over access to the app in the U.S. The new joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as major investors, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake, confirming the official acquisition structure.
May 7 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new US joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok announced the completion of a deal to spin off its US operations into a new joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and Emirati firm MGX, each holding 15% stakes, while ByteDance retains 19.9%. The new entity will operate under safeguards for national security, including data protection and algorithm retraining on US data. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats of a US ban, causing market prices for acquisition outcomes to stabilize.
May 7 2026
TikTok deal praised by Donald Trump on social media
Former President Donald Trump publicly praised the TikTok deal on social media, thanking Chinese leader Xi Jinping for approving the deal and expressing hope to be remembered by TikTok users. Trump's endorsement highlighted the political significance of the deal and its resolution of the US regulatory impasse, influencing market sentiment.
Jan 22 2026
TikTok signs deal to form new US unit with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok signed binding agreements with major investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to create a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, ensuring continued operation in the U.S. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats, including a potential ban, and was a critical step toward compliance with U.S. national security concerns.
Dec 14 2025
TikTok finalizes deal to form new U.S. joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 2%9%
TikTok announced a partnership with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX to spin off its U.S. operations into a new entity, removing the immediate threat of a forced sale or ban and lowering market expectations for a takeover by any listed buyer.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Larry Ellison/Oracle" con 100%, seguido de "Microsoft" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" ha generado $1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" es "Larry Ellison/Oracle" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Microsoft" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $1 million operados en “¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para "Larry Ellison/Oracle" en el mercado "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 100% de que "Larry Ellison/Oracle" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 100¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Dec 31, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" tiene una comunidad activa de 42 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes