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Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$1,004,889 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,004,889 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$18,667 Vol.

11%

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Kamala Harris

$52,917 Vol.

11%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,759 Vol.

10%

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Gavin Newsom

$62,452 Vol.

10%

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Andy Beshear

$9,981 Vol.

10%

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Mark Kelly

$8,709 Vol.

10%

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Pete Buttigieg

$13,955 Vol.

10%

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Stephen A. Smith

$17,212 Vol.

9%

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Don Lemon

$1,846 Vol.

8%

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Rand Paul

$19,365 Vol.

8%

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Ted Cruz

$14,972 Vol.

8%

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J.D. Vance

$29,300 Vol.

8%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,964 Vol.

8%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,259 Vol.

8%

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Steve Bannon

$15,954 Vol.

8%

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Donald Trump

$58,473 Vol.

7%

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Candace Owens

$8,085 Vol.

7%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$42,421 Vol.

7%

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Brian Kemp

$3,185 Vol.

7%

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Raphael Warnock

$2,929 Vol.

7%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$1,817 Vol.

7%

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J.B. Pritzker

$3,578 Vol.

6%

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Mark Cuban

$8,496 Vol.

6%

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Josh Shapiro

$9,699 Vol.

6%

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George Clooney

$5,245 Vol.

6%

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Glenn Youngkin

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5%

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Marco Rubio

$9,628 Vol.

5%

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Cory Booker

$15,213 Vol.

5%

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Greg Abbott

$4,057 Vol.

5%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$15,260 Vol.

5%

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Erika Kirk

$23,832 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$2,379 Vol.

5%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,583 Vol.

5%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,918 Vol.

5%

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Gina Raimondo

$4,194 Vol.

4%

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Kristi Noem

$19,819 Vol.

4%

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Hunter Biden

$51,170 Vol.

4%

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Nikki Haley

$3,363 Vol.

4%

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Ivanka Trump

$33,823 Vol.

4%

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Elise Stefanik

$3,705 Vol.

4%

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Jon Stewart

$3,510 Vol.

3%

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Elon Musk

$9,318 Vol.

3%

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Jon Ossoff

$20,250 Vol.

3%

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Beto O’Rourke

$9,794 Vol.

3%

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Wes Moore

$6,880 Vol.

3%

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MrBeast

$29,152 Vol.

3%

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Zohran Mamdani

$35,318 Vol.

3%

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Hillary Clinton

$14,005 Vol.

3%

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Jared Polis

$6,143 Vol.

3%

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Liz Cheney

$2,844 Vol.

3%

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Kim Kardashian

$6,574 Vol.

2%

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Josh Hawley

$7,932 Vol.

2%

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Michelle Obama

$14,376 Vol.

2%

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Byron Donalds

$10,143 Vol.

2%

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John Fetterman

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Oprah Winfrey

$16,568 Vol.

2%

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LeBron James

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2%

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John Thune

$4,785 Vol.

2%

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Tim Walz

$5,834 Vol.

2%

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Barack Obama

$10,856 Vol.

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Phil Murphy

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1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$13,278 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$3,391 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$9,643 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$26,010 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$6,634 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,695 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$15,536 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$14,375 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$6,252 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,824 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential cycle remains in its earliest phase as of August 2026, with no prominent candidates having formally announced campaigns. Major potential contenders across both parties, including figures like Gavin Newsom and others frequently mentioned in polling and prediction markets, have signaled interest or exploratory steps but continue to defer decisions until after the November 2026 midterms. Historical patterns show announcements typically accelerate in the months following midterms, though some minor candidates have already filed with the FEC. Term limits and recent public statements further shape the field, while trader consensus on specific early declarers reflects uncertainty around timing and willingness to enter before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,004,889
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential cycle remains in its earliest phase as of August 2026, with no prominent candidates having formally announced campaigns. Major potential contenders across both parties, including figures like Gavin Newsom and others frequently mentioned in polling and prediction markets, have signaled interest or exploratory steps but continue to defer decisions until after the November 2026 midterms. Historical patterns show announcements typically accelerate in the months following midterms, though some minor candidates have already filed with the FEC. Term limits and recent public statements further shape the field, while trader consensus on specific early declarers reflects uncertainty around timing and willingness to enter before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,004,889
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 71+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tucker Carlson" con 11%, seguido de "Kamala Harris" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" ha generado $1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?", explora los 71+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es "Tucker Carlson" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kamala Harris" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.