Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$162,330 Vol.
John Brennan
36%
James Clapper
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
21%
Brandon Johnson
17%
Tom Homan
17%
Mahmoud Khalil
14%
Letitia James
25%
Anthony Fauci
15%
Loretta Lynch
15%
James Comey
14%
Adam Schiff
10%
Gavin Newsom
7%
John Kerry
7%
Candace Owens
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
12%
Susan Rice
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Lisa Cook
6%
Kash Patel
5%
Lee Jun-seok
19%
Pam Bondi
4%
Joe Biden
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
2%
$162,330 Vol.
John Brennan
$7,113 Vol.
36%
James Clapper
$2,675 Vol.
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$9,857 Vol.
21%
Brandon Johnson
$2,920 Vol.
17%
Tom Homan
$31,219 Vol.
17%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,223 Vol.
14%
Letitia James
$1,340 Vol.
25%
Anthony Fauci
$14,488 Vol.
15%
Loretta Lynch
$2,139 Vol.
15%
James Comey
$9,274 Vol.
14%
Adam Schiff
$12,185 Vol.
10%
Gavin Newsom
$26,721 Vol.
7%
John Kerry
$185 Vol.
7%
Candace Owens
$257 Vol.
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$310 Vol.
12%
Susan Rice
$282 Vol.
6%
Hillary Clinton
$16,207 Vol.
6%
Lisa Cook
$660 Vol.
6%
Kash Patel
$213 Vol.
5%
Lee Jun-seok
$555 Vol.
19%
Pam Bondi
$1,551 Vol.
4%
Joe Biden
$2,094 Vol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$558 Vol.
3%
Barack Obama
$18,303 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$162,330Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$162,330Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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