Trader sentiment for the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active legal proceedings, federal investigations, and enforcement priorities involving multiple public figures. Mahmoud Khalil holds the leading implied probability near 47 percent amid ongoing cases tied to recent events. John Brennan follows at roughly 29 percent, reflecting historical scrutiny over intelligence-related matters. Anthony Fauci trades near 12 percent and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero near 18 percent, linked to prior policy and diplomatic actions under examination. Lower odds for others such as Adam Schiff or Barack Obama indicate fewer immediate triggers. Market pricing incorporates potential indictments, congressional referrals, court timelines, and agency decisions through the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién será arrestado antes de 2027?
¿Quién será arrestado antes de 2027?
$360,243 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
12%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
27%
James Clapper
14%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
11%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
8%
Lisa Cook
11%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$360,243 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
$131,231 Vol.
12%
John Brennan
$18,168 Vol.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,642 Vol.
23%
Adam Schiff
$16,394 Vol.
3%
Barack Obama
$28,484 Vol.
1%
James Comey
$9,602 Vol.
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,278 Vol.
27%
James Clapper
$6,706 Vol.
14%
Letitia James
$2,821 Vol.
13%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 Vol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,008 Vol.
3%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 Vol.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 Vol.
9%
Candace Owens
$263 Vol.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$37,141 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 Vol.
5%
John Kerry
$346 Vol.
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 Vol.
4%
Tom Homan
$39,428 Vol.
11%
Kash Patel
$530 Vol.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,174 Vol.
8%
Lisa Cook
$3,218 Vol.
11%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Vol.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,538 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active legal proceedings, federal investigations, and enforcement priorities involving multiple public figures. Mahmoud Khalil holds the leading implied probability near 47 percent amid ongoing cases tied to recent events. John Brennan follows at roughly 29 percent, reflecting historical scrutiny over intelligence-related matters. Anthony Fauci trades near 12 percent and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero near 18 percent, linked to prior policy and diplomatic actions under examination. Lower odds for others such as Adam Schiff or Barack Obama indicate fewer immediate triggers. Market pricing incorporates potential indictments, congressional referrals, court timelines, and agency decisions through the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$360,243Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment for the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active legal proceedings, federal investigations, and enforcement priorities involving multiple public figures. Mahmoud Khalil holds the leading implied probability near 47 percent amid ongoing cases tied to recent events. John Brennan follows at roughly 29 percent, reflecting historical scrutiny over intelligence-related matters. Anthony Fauci trades near 12 percent and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero near 18 percent, linked to prior policy and diplomatic actions under examination. Lower odds for others such as Adam Schiff or Barack Obama indicate fewer immediate triggers. Market pricing incorporates potential indictments, congressional referrals, court timelines, and agency decisions through the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$360,243Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active legal proceedings, federal investigations, and enforcement priorities involving multiple public figures. Mahmoud Khalil holds the leading implied probability near 47 percent amid ongoing cases tied to recent events. John Brennan follows at roughly 29 percent, reflecting historical scrutiny over intelligence-related matters. Anthony Fauci trades near 12 percent and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero near 18 percent, linked to prior policy and diplomatic actions under examination. Lower odds for others such as Adam Schiff or Barack Obama indicate fewer immediate triggers. Market pricing incorporates potential indictments, congressional referrals, court timelines, and agency decisions through the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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