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icon for ¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?
Política·Elección Principal

¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

icon for ¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?
Política·Elección Principal

¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Gadi Eizenkot 53.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu 29%

Naftali Bennett 8%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.4%

Polymarket

$38,554,965 Vol.

Gadi Eizenkot 53.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu 29%

Naftali Bennett 8%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.4%

Polymarket

$38,554,965 Vol.

icon for Gadi Eizenkot

Gadi Eizenkot

$2,231,132 Vol.

53%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$4,282,883 Vol.

29%

icon for Naftali Bennett

Naftali Bennett

$3,173,820 Vol.

8%

icon for Avigdor Lieberman

Avigdor Lieberman

$2,731,318 Vol.

3%

icon for Ofer Winter

Ofer Winter

$282,435 Vol.

2%

icon for Itamar Ben Gvir

Itamar Ben Gvir

$1,585,391 Vol.

1%

icon for Yossi Cohen

Yossi Cohen

$2,699,414 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yair Golan

Yair Golan

$2,372,363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yoaz Hendel

Yoaz Hendel

$1,645,956 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amir Ohana

Amir Ohana

$2,567,830 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yair Lapid

Yair Lapid

$1,604,376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benny Gantz

Benny Gantz

$2,247,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gideon Sa’ar

Gideon Sa’ar

$2,296,595 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yariv Levin

Yariv Levin

$1,897,920 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moshe Feiglin

Moshe Feiglin

$1,929,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ayelet Shaked

Ayelet Shaked

$1,859,104 Vol.

<1%

icon for Israel Katz

Israel Katz

$844,482 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nir Barkat

Nir Barkat

$1,581,661 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gilad Erdan

Gilad Erdan

$721,993 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eizenkot leads trader pricing for Israel's next prime minister because recent polls show his Yashar party consistently securing the most Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, positioning it to lead coalition talks in a fragmented parliament. Eisenkot's profile as a former IDF chief of staff, security hawk, and political outsider has gained traction amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government's handling of conflicts since October 2023 and Netanyahu's long tenure. Benjamin Netanyahu trails as Likud polls near or slightly behind Yashar, reflecting coalition weakness and opposition to his continued leadership. Naftali Bennett and smaller-party figures register lower odds due to weaker projected seat totals and limited coalition flexibility in current surveys. These dynamics have held steady through September candidate-list filings and bloc projections.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$38,554,965
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eizenkot leads trader pricing for Israel's next prime minister because recent polls show his Yashar party consistently securing the most Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, positioning it to lead coalition talks in a fragmented parliament. Eisenkot's profile as a former IDF chief of staff, security hawk, and political outsider has gained traction amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government's handling of conflicts since October 2023 and Netanyahu's long tenure. Benjamin Netanyahu trails as Likud polls near or slightly behind Yashar, reflecting coalition weakness and opposition to his continued leadership. Naftali Bennett and smaller-party figures register lower odds due to weaker projected seat totals and limited coalition flexibility in current surveys. These dynamics have held steady through September candidate-list filings and bloc projections.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$38,554,965
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gadi Eizenkot" con 53%, seguido de "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" ha generado $38.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 14, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es "Gadi Eizenkot" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.