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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

icon for ¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,197,040 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,197,040 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$751,332 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,243,731 Vol.

40%

Gadi Eizenkot

$745,264 Vol.

12%

Avigdor Lieberman

$657,163 Vol.

4%

Yair Lapid

$507,870 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$333,667 Vol.

1%

Israel Katz

$157,514 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$527,160 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$328,098 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,043 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$607,948 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,041 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$481,703 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$714,679 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$511,672 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$531,199 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$283,822 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israeli politics have kept the contest for prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election tightly balanced between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett. The April 2026 announcement that Bennett and Yair Lapid would merge their parties into the "Together" alliance unified key opposition forces, producing early polls showing the new bloc competitive with or ahead of Likud in seat projections. Netanyahu maintains strong support within the religious and right-wing coalition partners, while Bennett benefits from centrist appeal and prior governing experience. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with both leading contenders near 40 percent implied probability and Gadi Eizenkot positioned as a potential third option. Further coalition negotiations, security developments, or additional party alignments before election day could shift momentum and clarify post-election formation prospects.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,197,040
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israeli politics have kept the contest for prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election tightly balanced between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett. The April 2026 announcement that Bennett and Yair Lapid would merge their parties into the "Together" alliance unified key opposition forces, producing early polls showing the new bloc competitive with or ahead of Likud in seat projections. Netanyahu maintains strong support within the religious and right-wing coalition partners, while Bennett benefits from centrist appeal and prior governing experience. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with both leading contenders near 40 percent implied probability and Gadi Eizenkot positioned as a potential third option. Further coalition negotiations, security developments, or additional party alignments before election day could shift momentum and clarify post-election formation prospects.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,197,040
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 40%, seguido de "Naftali Bennett" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" ha generado $9.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Naftali Bennett" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.