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icon for ¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?

¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?

icon for ¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?

¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Michelle Bachelet 3.8%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Michelle Bachelet 3.8%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Vol.

45%

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Vol.

30%

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Vol.

4%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Vol.

4%

María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Vol.

2%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Vol.

1%

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Vol.

1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Vol.

1%

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Vol.

<1%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Vol.

33%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Vol.

34%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus at 45% owing to her role as UNCTAD Secretary-General, formal Costa Rican nomination in March 2026, and strong performance in April–July interactive dialogues and the July town hall. Regional rotation favoring Latin America, momentum for the first female Secretary-General, and her reform-oriented profile within the existing system underpin this positioning. Close contenders like Colombe Cahen-Salvador and Achim Steiner reflect activist and UNDP perspectives that appeal to reform-minded traders, while Rafael Grossi draws support from his IAEA nuclear diplomacy background amid security concerns. The selection process, set to conclude before the January 2027 transition, hinges on General Assembly consultations and Security Council dynamics where vetoes remain decisive.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$80,086
Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus at 45% owing to her role as UNCTAD Secretary-General, formal Costa Rican nomination in March 2026, and strong performance in April–July interactive dialogues and the July town hall. Regional rotation favoring Latin America, momentum for the first female Secretary-General, and her reform-oriented profile within the existing system underpin this positioning. Close contenders like Colombe Cahen-Salvador and Achim Steiner reflect activist and UNDP perspectives that appeal to reform-minded traders, while Rafael Grossi draws support from his IAEA nuclear diplomacy background amid security concerns. The selection process, set to conclude before the January 2027 transition, hinges on General Assembly consultations and Security Council dynamics where vetoes remain decisive.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$80,086
Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rebeca Grynspan" con 45%, seguido de "Achim Steiner" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?" ha generado $80.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?" es "Rebeca Grynspan" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Achim Steiner" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.