Rafael Grossi holds the lead in trader consensus for the next United Nations Secretary-General at 41.5 percent, reflecting his established role as IAEA director general and recent strong showing in the April 2026 interactive dialogues before the General Assembly. His diplomatic record on nuclear non-proliferation, including oversight at Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant and talks with Iran, positions him well for the Security Council’s required nine-vote recommendation without a permanent-member veto. Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés at 21.5 percent gained ground after her May 2026 nomination by Ecuador, while Rebeca Grynspan at 17.0 percent benefits from emphasis on economic equity and Security Council reform during her hearing. Michelle Bachelet at 13.0 percent draws support from Brazil and Mexico despite Chile’s March withdrawal. The race remains open ahead of further straw polls, with Guterres’ term ending December 31, 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?
¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?
Rafael Grossi 50%
María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 21.3%
Rebeca Grynspan 16.8%
Michelle Bachelet 12.8%
$60,794 Vol.
$60,794 Vol.
Rafael Grossi
45%
María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
21%
Rebeca Grynspan
17%
Michelle Bachelet
13%
Jacinda Ardern
3%
Bruno Donat
1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Kristalina Georgieva
<1%
Amina Mohammed
<1%
Achim Steiner
<1%
Rafael Grossi 50%
María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 21.3%
Rebeca Grynspan 16.8%
Michelle Bachelet 12.8%
$60,794 Vol.
$60,794 Vol.
Rafael Grossi
45%
María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
21%
Rebeca Grynspan
17%
Michelle Bachelet
13%
Jacinda Ardern
3%
Bruno Donat
1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Kristalina Georgieva
<1%
Amina Mohammed
<1%
Achim Steiner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rafael Grossi holds the lead in trader consensus for the next United Nations Secretary-General at 41.5 percent, reflecting his established role as IAEA director general and recent strong showing in the April 2026 interactive dialogues before the General Assembly. His diplomatic record on nuclear non-proliferation, including oversight at Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant and talks with Iran, positions him well for the Security Council’s required nine-vote recommendation without a permanent-member veto. Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés at 21.5 percent gained ground after her May 2026 nomination by Ecuador, while Rebeca Grynspan at 17.0 percent benefits from emphasis on economic equity and Security Council reform during her hearing. Michelle Bachelet at 13.0 percent draws support from Brazil and Mexico despite Chile’s March withdrawal. The race remains open ahead of further straw polls, with Guterres’ term ending December 31, 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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