Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title after reclaiming it in 2025 and securing a second victory over Diego Lopes early in 2026, positioning him as the division leader with a record of experience that underpins his 52 percent implied probability in the long-term market. Movsar Evloev sits at 36.5 percent following his March title-eliminator win over Lerone Murphy at UFC London, earning him the next scheduled defense against Volkanovski targeted for August or September. The remaining contenders, including Arnold Allen, Jean Silva, and Steve Garcia, trail with single-digit probabilities due to limited recent title contention opportunities and the champion’s established dominance in high-stakes matchups. Trader consensus reflects Volkanovski’s track record of successful defenses and Evloev’s undefeated momentum as the primary factors shaping probabilities through the end of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlexander Volkanovski 63%
Movsar Evloev 31%
Jean Silva 3.7%
Arnold Allen 2.7%
$13,404 Vol.
$13,404 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
54%
Movsar Evloev
21%
Jean Silva
4%
Arnold Allen
3%
Steve Garcia
3%
Aljamain Sterling
2%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Diego Lopes
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 63%
Movsar Evloev 31%
Jean Silva 3.7%
Arnold Allen 2.7%
$13,404 Vol.
$13,404 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
54%
Movsar Evloev
21%
Jean Silva
4%
Arnold Allen
3%
Steve Garcia
3%
Aljamain Sterling
2%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Diego Lopes
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title after reclaiming it in 2025 and securing a second victory over Diego Lopes early in 2026, positioning him as the division leader with a record of experience that underpins his 52 percent implied probability in the long-term market. Movsar Evloev sits at 36.5 percent following his March title-eliminator win over Lerone Murphy at UFC London, earning him the next scheduled defense against Volkanovski targeted for August or September. The remaining contenders, including Arnold Allen, Jean Silva, and Steve Garcia, trail with single-digit probabilities due to limited recent title contention opportunities and the champion’s established dominance in high-stakes matchups. Trader consensus reflects Volkanovski’s track record of successful defenses and Evloev’s undefeated momentum as the primary factors shaping probabilities through the end of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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