The UFC heavyweight title race at the end of 2026 sits in a tight cluster because no single fighter has established sustained dominance amid frequent injuries and shifting rankings. Serghei Spivac's edge reflects his recent grappling-heavy wins and consistent activity, yet Waldo Cortes Acosta and Tom Aspinall sit within two percentage points due to their knockout power and interim-title momentum. This parity stems from the division's volatility, where reach advantages, camp injuries, and stylistic clashes between wrestlers and strikers can rapidly alter paths to the belt. Historical patterns of short-notice upsets and late-round finishes keep trader consensus fluid, as any contender's next performance could widen or erase these narrow gaps.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnte Delija 43.1%
Jailton Almeida 40.3%
Derrick Lewis 39.6%
Ciryl Gane 26%
$97,750 Vol.
$97,750 Vol.
Ante Delija
43%
Jailton Almeida
40%
Derrick Lewis
40%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Alexander Volkov
10%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Tom Aspinall
38%
Sergei Pavlovich
44%
Serghei Spivac
46%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
43%
Ante Delija 43.1%
Jailton Almeida 40.3%
Derrick Lewis 39.6%
Ciryl Gane 26%
$97,750 Vol.
$97,750 Vol.
Ante Delija
43%
Jailton Almeida
40%
Derrick Lewis
40%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Alexander Volkov
10%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Tom Aspinall
38%
Sergei Pavlovich
44%
Serghei Spivac
46%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
43%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The UFC heavyweight title race at the end of 2026 sits in a tight cluster because no single fighter has established sustained dominance amid frequent injuries and shifting rankings. Serghei Spivac's edge reflects his recent grappling-heavy wins and consistent activity, yet Waldo Cortes Acosta and Tom Aspinall sit within two percentage points due to their knockout power and interim-title momentum. This parity stems from the division's volatility, where reach advantages, camp injuries, and stylistic clashes between wrestlers and strikers can rapidly alter paths to the belt. Historical patterns of short-notice upsets and late-round finishes keep trader consensus fluid, as any contender's next performance could widen or erase these narrow gaps.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes