Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army since 2023, with the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marking the latest wave that reduced the CMC to just two members including Xi. These actions, alongside earlier removals of figures such as He Weidong, Miao Hua, and Li Shangfu, reflect efforts to enforce political loyalty and address graft across combat commands and service branches. Civilian officials have also faced scrutiny, including a Politburo member in early 2026. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, including cadre assessments and personnel reviews beginning in spring 2026, create additional windows for further investigations or replacements. Trader focus centers on military and senior party figures whose positions remain vulnerable amid ongoing discipline enforcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$199,176 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Cai Qi
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Wang Huning
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Li Xi
3%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
$199,176 Vol.
Dong Jun
$37,884 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,278 Vol.
6%
Cai Qi
$43,328 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$10,974 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$11,823 Vol.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,094 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,277 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,668 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army since 2023, with the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marking the latest wave that reduced the CMC to just two members including Xi. These actions, alongside earlier removals of figures such as He Weidong, Miao Hua, and Li Shangfu, reflect efforts to enforce political loyalty and address graft across combat commands and service branches. Civilian officials have also faced scrutiny, including a Politburo member in early 2026. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, including cadre assessments and personnel reviews beginning in spring 2026, create additional windows for further investigations or replacements. Trader focus centers on military and senior party figures whose positions remain vulnerable amid ongoing discipline enforcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$199,176Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army since 2023, with the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marking the latest wave that reduced the CMC to just two members including Xi. These actions, alongside earlier removals of figures such as He Weidong, Miao Hua, and Li Shangfu, reflect efforts to enforce political loyalty and address graft across combat commands and service branches. Civilian officials have also faced scrutiny, including a Politburo member in early 2026. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, including cadre assessments and personnel reviews beginning in spring 2026, create additional windows for further investigations or replacements. Trader focus centers on military and senior party figures whose positions remain vulnerable amid ongoing discipline enforcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$199,176Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army since 2023, with the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marking the latest wave that reduced the CMC to just two members including Xi. These actions, alongside earlier removals of figures such as He Weidong, Miao Hua, and Li Shangfu, reflect efforts to enforce political loyalty and address graft across combat commands and service branches. Civilian officials have also faced scrutiny, including a Politburo member in early 2026. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, including cadre assessments and personnel reviews beginning in spring 2026, create additional windows for further investigations or replacements. Trader focus centers on military and senior party figures whose positions remain vulnerable amid ongoing discipline enforcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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