Xi Jinping’s ongoing “self-revolution” anti-corruption drive, framed as ensuring political loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, remains the central driver of trader expectations for additional high-level purges in 2026. The most significant recent development was the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli for “serious violations of discipline and law,” extending a wave that has removed multiple CMC members since 2023 and left the commission heavily depleted. These actions align with Xi’s push to modernize the military ahead of its 2027 centenary goals while consolidating personal control. Analysts note the campaign’s momentum could intensify toward the next Party Congress, with further removals possible among remaining senior officers or civilian officials tied to prior networks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$199,015 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
13%
Zhang Shengmin
7%
Cai Qi
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Qiang
2%
Li Xi
2%
Wang Yi
2%
$199,015 Vol.
Dong Jun
$37,877 Vol.
13%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,171 Vol.
7%
Cai Qi
$43,298 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$10,974 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,094 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$11,823 Vol.
4%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
Li Xi
$28,260 Vol.
2%
Wang Yi
$15,668 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing “self-revolution” anti-corruption drive, framed as ensuring political loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, remains the central driver of trader expectations for additional high-level purges in 2026. The most significant recent development was the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli for “serious violations of discipline and law,” extending a wave that has removed multiple CMC members since 2023 and left the commission heavily depleted. These actions align with Xi’s push to modernize the military ahead of its 2027 centenary goals while consolidating personal control. Analysts note the campaign’s momentum could intensify toward the next Party Congress, with further removals possible among remaining senior officers or civilian officials tied to prior networks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$199,015Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing “self-revolution” anti-corruption drive, framed as ensuring political loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, remains the central driver of trader expectations for additional high-level purges in 2026. The most significant recent development was the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli for “serious violations of discipline and law,” extending a wave that has removed multiple CMC members since 2023 and left the commission heavily depleted. These actions align with Xi’s push to modernize the military ahead of its 2027 centenary goals while consolidating personal control. Analysts note the campaign’s momentum could intensify toward the next Party Congress, with further removals possible among remaining senior officers or civilian officials tied to prior networks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$199,015Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing “self-revolution” anti-corruption drive, framed as ensuring political loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, remains the central driver of trader expectations for additional high-level purges in 2026. The most significant recent development was the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli for “serious violations of discipline and law,” extending a wave that has removed multiple CMC members since 2023 and left the commission heavily depleted. These actions align with Xi’s push to modernize the military ahead of its 2027 centenary goals while consolidating personal control. Analysts note the campaign’s momentum could intensify toward the next Party Congress, with further removals possible among remaining senior officers or civilian officials tied to prior networks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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