Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, an R+8 seat that has not elected a Democrat in decades. Grothman, unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, holds a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Smith narrowly won his party’s primary over Amanda Bell, but early polling shows Grothman leading both Smith and independent challengers by double digits. The district’s partisan composition, Grothman’s incumbency, and limited recent Democratic competitiveness position Republican traders at 87.5% implied probability, with Democratic chances remaining in the low teens absent major late-cycle shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$31,665 Vol.
$31,665 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
89%
Partido Demócrata
11%
$31,665 Vol.
$31,665 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$17,652 Vol.
89%
Partido Demócrata
$14,013 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, an R+8 seat that has not elected a Democrat in decades. Grothman, unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, holds a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Smith narrowly won his party’s primary over Amanda Bell, but early polling shows Grothman leading both Smith and independent challengers by double digits. The district’s partisan composition, Grothman’s incumbency, and limited recent Democratic competitiveness position Republican traders at 87.5% implied probability, with Democratic chances remaining in the low teens absent major late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$31,665Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, an R+8 seat that has not elected a Democrat in decades. Grothman, unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, holds a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Smith narrowly won his party’s primary over Amanda Bell, but early polling shows Grothman leading both Smith and independent challengers by double digits. The district’s partisan composition, Grothman’s incumbency, and limited recent Democratic competitiveness position Republican traders at 87.5% implied probability, with Democratic chances remaining in the low teens absent major late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,665Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, an R+8 seat that has not elected a Democrat in decades. Grothman, unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, holds a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Smith narrowly won his party’s primary over Amanda Bell, but early polling shows Grothman leading both Smith and independent challengers by double digits. The district’s partisan composition, Grothman’s incumbency, and limited recent Democratic competitiveness position Republican traders at 87.5% implied probability, with Democratic chances remaining in the low teens absent major late-cycle shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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