A Alberta court ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a separatist petition for an independence referendum, citing the province's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights, delivering a major setback to the sovereignty movement and driving "No" odds to 94.8% on Alberta joining the US. Premier Danielle Smith decried the decision as anti-democratic and pledged an appeal, but constitutional requirements for secession—let alone US congressional approval and bilateral negotiations—pose immense barriers. Rising polls reflect frustrations with Ottawa over energy policy and equalization, yet official positions emphasize greater autonomy within Canada, not annexation. While an appeal success or future referendum could stir odds, trader consensus views US accession as improbable absent seismic shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Alberta se unirá a los Estados Unidos?
¿Alberta se unirá a los Estados Unidos?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.A Alberta court ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a separatist petition for an independence referendum, citing the province's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights, delivering a major setback to the sovereignty movement and driving "No" odds to 94.8% on Alberta joining the US. Premier Danielle Smith decried the decision as anti-democratic and pledged an appeal, but constitutional requirements for secession—let alone US congressional approval and bilateral negotiations—pose immense barriers. Rising polls reflect frustrations with Ottawa over energy policy and equalization, yet official positions emphasize greater autonomy within Canada, not annexation. While an appeal success or future referendum could stir odds, trader consensus views US accession as improbable absent seismic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volumen
$6,943Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.A Alberta court ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a separatist petition for an independence referendum, citing the province's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights, delivering a major setback to the sovereignty movement and driving "No" odds to 94.8% on Alberta joining the US. Premier Danielle Smith decried the decision as anti-democratic and pledged an appeal, but constitutional requirements for secession—let alone US congressional approval and bilateral negotiations—pose immense barriers. Rising polls reflect frustrations with Ottawa over energy policy and equalization, yet official positions emphasize greater autonomy within Canada, not annexation. While an appeal success or future referendum could stir odds, trader consensus views US accession as improbable absent seismic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volumen
$6,943Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Alberta court ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a separatist petition for an independence referendum, citing the province's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights, delivering a major setback to the sovereignty movement and driving "No" odds to 94.8% on Alberta joining the US. Premier Danielle Smith decried the decision as anti-democratic and pledged an appeal, but constitutional requirements for secession—let alone US congressional approval and bilateral negotiations—pose immense barriers. Rising polls reflect frustrations with Ottawa over energy policy and equalization, yet official positions emphasize greater autonomy within Canada, not annexation. While an appeal success or future referendum could stir odds, trader consensus views US accession as improbable absent seismic shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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