Anthropic's confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of scheduled investor meetings for a potential October listing, drives the 84.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic's accelerated preparations and active roadshow planning, contrasting with OpenAI's late-June pivot toward a possible 2027 IPO after its own confidential filing. Recent revenue trends favoring Anthropic's enterprise focus and competitive positioning in large language model development further reinforce sentiment that regulatory review and market conditions will favor an earlier Anthropic debut. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or pricing updates that could lock in fall timelines for either company.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
85% probabilidad
$278,981 Vol.
$278,981 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
85% probabilidad
$278,981 Vol.
$278,981 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of scheduled investor meetings for a potential October listing, drives the 84.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic's accelerated preparations and active roadshow planning, contrasting with OpenAI's late-June pivot toward a possible 2027 IPO after its own confidential filing. Recent revenue trends favoring Anthropic's enterprise focus and competitive positioning in large language model development further reinforce sentiment that regulatory review and market conditions will favor an earlier Anthropic debut. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or pricing updates that could lock in fall timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$278,981Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of scheduled investor meetings for a potential October listing, drives the 84.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic's accelerated preparations and active roadshow planning, contrasting with OpenAI's late-June pivot toward a possible 2027 IPO after its own confidential filing. Recent revenue trends favoring Anthropic's enterprise focus and competitive positioning in large language model development further reinforce sentiment that regulatory review and market conditions will favor an earlier Anthropic debut. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or pricing updates that could lock in fall timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$278,981Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of scheduled investor meetings for a potential October listing, drives the 84.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic's accelerated preparations and active roadshow planning, contrasting with OpenAI's late-June pivot toward a possible 2027 IPO after its own confidential filing. Recent revenue trends favoring Anthropic's enterprise focus and competitive positioning in large language model development further reinforce sentiment that regulatory review and market conditions will favor an earlier Anthropic debut. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or pricing updates that could lock in fall timelines for either company.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La capitalización de mercado de Anthropic será de 600.000 millones de dólares o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
95%
Sí
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
38%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
20%
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes