Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, paired with banker appointments and a targeted September–October IPO window, has anchored the 86% market-implied odds that it will list ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting shows OpenAI shifting its timeline toward 2027 after initially eyeing late 2026, reflecting slower progress on investor meetings and internal deliberations. Both companies now operate with confidential filings, yet Anthropic’s faster regulatory runway and higher post-money valuation near $965 billion give it a clearer path to a 2026 debut. Traders are watching for any acceleration in OpenAI’s process or market-condition shifts that could compress the gap before either company prices shares.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
86% probabilidad
$283,908 Vol.
$283,908 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
86% probabilidad
$283,908 Vol.
$283,908 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, paired with banker appointments and a targeted September–October IPO window, has anchored the 86% market-implied odds that it will list ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting shows OpenAI shifting its timeline toward 2027 after initially eyeing late 2026, reflecting slower progress on investor meetings and internal deliberations. Both companies now operate with confidential filings, yet Anthropic’s faster regulatory runway and higher post-money valuation near $965 billion give it a clearer path to a 2026 debut. Traders are watching for any acceleration in OpenAI’s process or market-condition shifts that could compress the gap before either company prices shares.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$283,908Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, paired with banker appointments and a targeted September–October IPO window, has anchored the 86% market-implied odds that it will list ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting shows OpenAI shifting its timeline toward 2027 after initially eyeing late 2026, reflecting slower progress on investor meetings and internal deliberations. Both companies now operate with confidential filings, yet Anthropic’s faster regulatory runway and higher post-money valuation near $965 billion give it a clearer path to a 2026 debut. Traders are watching for any acceleration in OpenAI’s process or market-condition shifts that could compress the gap before either company prices shares.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$283,908Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, paired with banker appointments and a targeted September–October IPO window, has anchored the 86% market-implied odds that it will list ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting shows OpenAI shifting its timeline toward 2027 after initially eyeing late 2026, reflecting slower progress on investor meetings and internal deliberations. Both companies now operate with confidential filings, yet Anthropic’s faster regulatory runway and higher post-money valuation near $965 billion give it a clearer path to a 2026 debut. Traders are watching for any acceleration in OpenAI’s process or market-condition shifts that could compress the gap before either company prices shares.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La capitalización de mercado de Anthropic será de 600.000 millones de dólares o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
96%
Sí
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
50%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
20%
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes