Apple’s lobbying of the Trump administration for clearance to source DRAM from blacklisted Chinese supplier ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) reflects acute supply pressure from AI-driven memory demand, which forced price hikes across Mac and iPad lines in June 2026. The company has tested CXMT chips for iPhones and MacBooks aimed at the China market and held early supplier talks, yet CXMT remains fully booked through 2027 by domestic buyers such as Huawei and Xiaomi, with prices comparable to or above those from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Political risks, including Pentagon blacklist status and congressional opposition, plus export-control uncertainties, continue to weigh on the timeline. These capacity, pricing, and regulatory constraints explain why traders currently assign a modest edge to no purchase occurring in 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
43% probabilidad
$17,905 Vol.
$17,905 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
43% probabilidad
$17,905 Vol.
$17,905 Vol.
31 dic 2026
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple’s lobbying of the Trump administration for clearance to source DRAM from blacklisted Chinese supplier ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) reflects acute supply pressure from AI-driven memory demand, which forced price hikes across Mac and iPad lines in June 2026. The company has tested CXMT chips for iPhones and MacBooks aimed at the China market and held early supplier talks, yet CXMT remains fully booked through 2027 by domestic buyers such as Huawei and Xiaomi, with prices comparable to or above those from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Political risks, including Pentagon blacklist status and congressional opposition, plus export-control uncertainties, continue to weigh on the timeline. These capacity, pricing, and regulatory constraints explain why traders currently assign a modest edge to no purchase occurring in 2026.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Volumen
$17,905Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple’s lobbying of the Trump administration for clearance to source DRAM from blacklisted Chinese supplier ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) reflects acute supply pressure from AI-driven memory demand, which forced price hikes across Mac and iPad lines in June 2026. The company has tested CXMT chips for iPhones and MacBooks aimed at the China market and held early supplier talks, yet CXMT remains fully booked through 2027 by domestic buyers such as Huawei and Xiaomi, with prices comparable to or above those from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Political risks, including Pentagon blacklist status and congressional opposition, plus export-control uncertainties, continue to weigh on the timeline. These capacity, pricing, and regulatory constraints explain why traders currently assign a modest edge to no purchase occurring in 2026.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$17,905Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s lobbying of the Trump administration for clearance to source DRAM from blacklisted Chinese supplier ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) reflects acute supply pressure from AI-driven memory demand, which forced price hikes across Mac and iPad lines in June 2026. The company has tested CXMT chips for iPhones and MacBooks aimed at the China market and held early supplier talks, yet CXMT remains fully booked through 2027 by domestic buyers such as Huawei and Xiaomi, with prices comparable to or above those from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Political risks, including Pentagon blacklist status and congressional opposition, plus export-control uncertainties, continue to weigh on the timeline. These capacity, pricing, and regulatory constraints explain why traders currently assign a modest edge to no purchase occurring in 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes